NATO Workshop on Pre-Detection of Lone Wolf Terrorists of the Future
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The document discusses the integration of emerging technologies such as AI, nanotechnology, and robotics, highlighting potential synergies and associated risks, including security threats and societal impacts. It presents the concept of collective intelligence systems to enhance decision-making through the integration of data, software, and expert insights. Additionally, it outlines steps and challenges in creating such systems to address these future tech uncertainties.
NATO Workshop on Pre-Detection of Lone Wolf Terrorists of the Future
- 1. Panel: Synergies among Technologies, Collective Intelligence System for Security and Social Aspects Pre-Detection NATO Workshop Jerome C. Glenn, CEO The Millennium Project
- 2. Old Way of Seeing Future Technologies Artificial Intelligence Robotic manufacturing Computational Science 3-D4-D Priting Nanotechnology Quantum computing Synthetic Biology Drones Artificial General Intelligence Tele-Everything & Tele-Everybody the SemanticWeb
- 3. Future Way of Seeing Future Technologies - Integration/Synergies
- 4. Future Technology Synergies Robotic manufacturing Drones Quantum computing Robotic manufacturing 3D，4D Printing Augmented Reality Tele-Presence, Holographics Nanotechnology Artificial General Intelligence Tele-Everything Tele-Everybody the SemanticWeb Increasing individual and collective intelligence Synthetic Biology Nanotechnology
- 5. Future Technology Synergies Artificial Intelligence Robotic manufacturing Quantum computing Drones Future Technology Robotic manufacturing 3D，4D Printing Augmented Reality, Tele-Presence, Holographics
- 6. Ifthen Nano- technology Synthetic Biology Internet of Things 3D Printing Conscious- Technology Artificial Intelligence Nano- technology xxx Synthetic Biology xxx Internet of Things xxx 3D Printing xxx Conscious- Technology xxx Artificial Intelligence xxx Emerging Technological Synergies Matrix
- 7. Some Future Threats from Technologies • Internet of Things, system collapse, everything venerable • Increasing intelligence – mini Hitlers, brain gap prejudice • 3-D Printing – proliferation of weapons out of control • Synthetic Biology – lab leaks, pandemics, SIMAD • Nanotechnology – individual mass armies, gray goo • AI & Robotics – mass unemployment, social revolutions • Augmented Reality – inability to distinguish reality, insanity
- 8. Ifthen IoT collapse Information war paranoia IQ, Brain gap mini Hitlers SIMAD Proliferation of Nano Armies Mass Unemployment IoT collapse xxx Information war paranoia xxx IQ, Brain gap, mini Hitlers xxx SIMAD xxx Proliferation of Nano Armies xxx Mass Unemployment xxx Thinking the Unthinkable… …Interactions of what can go wrong
- 9. Acceleration of Synergies among future technologies Moore’s Law + Artificial Intelligence acceleration + Computational science These three together will change what we think is possible.
- 10. Steve Jobs and Bill Gates 1991 By 2030-2050 millions of people could become augmented geniuses, and what could they create?
- 11. Reduce the likelihood of SIMADs Technology Sensors, mesh networks, etc. Public Prevention & Detection Rolls Mental Health, Child Development, Education Potential Global Assessment by The Millennium Project
- 12. What sector of the public? Lone Wolf SIMAD Ideological Support Sympathetic to Ideological Support Public Prevention Detection Rolls General Public
- 13. How to keep track and anticipate …the synergies among technologies and ….their potential security and social impacts? One approach: Collective Intelligence Systems
- 14. General concept of Collective Intelligence
- 15. Collective Intelligence Definition • emerges from the integration and synergies among • data/info/knowledge • software/hardware • experts and others with insight • that continually learns from feedback • to produce just in time knowledge for better decisions • than these elements acting alone.
- 16. General Steps to create a Collective Intelligence System What the key challenges? Who are the best reviewers for each? For each Challenge, what are the best news sources, computer models, etc. that can feed new scanning items Create Situation Chart for each: What is, What ought, and ways to address the gap
- 17. Menu for each Challenge 1. Situation Chart: Current Situation; Desired Situation; and Policies 2. Report (detailed text) 3. News items (automatic news feeds – searchable) 4. Scanning (annotated, rated information) 5. On-going Real-Time Delphi questionnaires to collect expert judgments 6. Public comments 7. Discussion groups 8. Computer models (mathematical and rules-based), and conceptual models 9. Resources: websites, books, papers, videos 10. Updates – all edits 11. Digests – Recent scans, edits, discussions
- 18. One example of work flow: News sources Internet Sources Short and Long- overviews Scanning Items Situation Chart: What is;What ought How to address the gap Short-term Memory Long-term Memory Intelligence Feedback on Overviews, Situation Charts, Scanning items, and News Sources to constantly change. If there is time and interest go to www.themp.org, if no firewall problems
- 19. For further information Jerome C. Glenn +1-202-686-5179 phone/fax [email protected] www.StateoftheFuture.org Global Futures Intelligence System: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/GFIS.html 2015-16 State of the Future: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/201516SOF.html Futures Research Methodology 3.0: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/FRM-V3.html