08 arab opinion_poll_telhami
- 1. 2010 Arab Public Opinion Poll Conducted by the University of Maryland in conjunction with Zogby International With special thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New York Shibley Telhami, Principal Investigator Nonresident Senior Fellow, Saban Center at Brookings Anwar Sadat Professor for Peace and Development, University of Maryland EMBAGOED UNTIL 10:00 AM, THURSDAY AUGUST 5, 2010
- 2. 2010 Arab Public Opinion Poll Survey conducted June 29 -July 20, 2010 in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, and UAE Sample size: 3,976 Margin of error: +/- 1.6%
- 3. Key Poll Findings Among the key poll findings are: • A substantial change in the assessment of President Obama, both as President of the United States and of Obama personally. • Remarkably stable views on the Arab-Israeli conflict and the prospects of its resolution • A majority of the Arab public now see a nuclear-armed Iran as being better for the Middle East
- 4. Samples and Polling Dates Country Sample Margin of Start End Size Error Date Date Egypt 818 +/‐ 3.5 6/29/10 7/18/10 Saudi Arabia 812 +/‐ 3.5 6/30/10 7/16/10 UAE 512 +/‐ 4.4 6/30/10 7/14/10 Morocco 816 +/‐ 3.5 6/30/10 7/20/10 Lebanon 509 +/‐ 4.4 6/29/10 7/13/10 Jordan 509 +/‐ 4.5 6/30/10 7/16/10
- 5. United States & the Middle East
- 6. United States & the Middle East How would you describe your views of President Barack Obama of the United States? 2010 2009 Positive Neutral Negative
- 7. United States & the Middle East How would you describe your attitudes toward the Obama Administration policy in the Middle East? 2010 2009 Hopeful Neither hopeful nor discouraged Discouraged
- 8. United States & the Middle East When you look back at the past year of the Obama Administration, which one of the following policies are you most disappointed with? 2010 Palestine/Israel Iraq Attitudes toward Islam Afghanistan Human rights Spreading democracy Economic assistance
- 9. United States & the Middle East When you look back at the past year of the Obama Administration, which one of the following policies are you most pleased with? 2010 Palestine/Israel Iraq Attitudes toward Islam Afghanistan Human rights Spreading democracy Economic assistance
- 10. United States & the Middle East Generally speaking, is your attitude toward the United States… 2010 2009 2008 Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable
- 11. United States & the Middle East What TWO steps by the United States would improve your views of the United States the most? 2010 2009 2008 Israel‐Palestine peace agreement Withdrawal from Iraq Stopping aid to Israel Withdrawal from Arabian Peninsula Pushing more to spread democracy More economic aid to the region Stopping aid to Arab governments
- 12. United States & the Middle East Which TWO of the following factors do you believe are most important in driving American policy in the Middle East? 2010 2009 2008 Protecting Israel Controlling oil Weakening the Muslim world Preserving regional and global dominance Preventing spread of nuclear weapons Promoting peace and stability Fighting terrorism Spreading human rights Promoting democracy
- 13. United States & the Middle East Which of the following is closest to your views in describing US President Barack Obama? 2010 Unfavorable view of him and I am pessimistic about his foreign policy Favorable personal view of him, but I don't think the American system will allow him to have a successful foreign policy Favorable personal view of him and I am hopeful about his foreign policy
- 14. United States & the Middle East Generally speaking, is your attitude about the American people… 2010 (All) 36 and over Under 36 Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable
- 16. Arab‐Israeli Conflict Describe your attitude toward Israel’s power: 2010 2009 2008 Very powerful Has its strengths and weaknesses Weaker than it looks
- 17. Arab‐Israeli Conflict Describe your attitude toward Israel’s power: (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Very powerful Has its strengths and weaknesses Weaker than it looks
- 18. Arab‐Israeli Conflict Which of the following statements is closer to your view? 2010 2009 2008 Prepared for peace if Israel is willing to return all 1967 territories including East Jerusalem, and Arab governments should put more effort into this Prepared for peace if Israel is willing to return all 1967 territories including East Jerusalem, but Israel will never give up these territories easily Even if Israel returns all 1967 territories, Arabs should continue to fight
- 19. Arab‐Israeli Conflict Which of the following statements is closer to your view? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Prepared for peace if Israel is willing to return all 1967 territories including East Jerusalem, and Arab governments should put more effort into this Prepared for peace if Israel is willing to return all 1967 territories including East Jerusalem, but Israel will never give up these territories easily Even if Israel returns all 1967 territories, Arabs should continue to fight
- 20. Arab‐Israeli Conflict What do you believe motivates Israeli policies in the region and American support for these policies? 2010 2009 2008 Israel decides on its own interests and influences the US Israel is a tool of American foreign policy US and Israel have mutual interests
- 21. Arab‐Israeli Conflict What do you believe motivates Israeli policies in the region and American support for these policies? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Israel decides on its own interests and influences the US Israel is a tool of American foreign policy US and Israel have mutual interests
- 22. Arab‐Israeli Conflict What do you believe is the likely outcome if the prospects of a two‐state solution in the Palestinian‐Israeli conflict collapse? 2010 2009 2008 State of intense conflict for years to come Status quo will continue One‐state solution in which Israelis and Palestinians are equal Palestinians will eventually surrender to Israeli power
- 23. Arab‐Israeli Conflict What do you believe is the likely outcome if the prospects of a two‐state solution in the Palestinian‐Israeli conflict collapse? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 State of intense conflict for years to come Status quo will continue One‐state solution in which Israelis and Palestinians are equal Palestinians will eventually surrender to Israeli power
- 24. Arab‐Israeli Conflict Which of the following statements is closest to your view about the prospects of lasting peace between Israel and the Palestinians? 2010 2009 2008 Don’t believe it will ever happen Inevitable, but it will take more time Will happen in the next five years
- 25. Arab‐Israeli Conflict Which of the following statements is closest to your view about the prospects of lasting peace between Israel and the Palestinians? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Don’t believe it will ever happen Inevitable, but it will take more time Will happen in the next five years
- 26. Arab‐Israeli Conflict In the current conflict among the Palestinians, with whom do you sympathize most? 2010 2009 2008 Fatah Hamas Both to some extent Other / None of the above
- 27. Arab‐Israeli Conflict In the current conflict among the Palestinians, with whom do you sympathize most? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Fatah Hamas Both to some extent Other / None of the above
- 28. Arab‐Israeli Conflict As you look at the internal Palestinian political divisions, do you prefer to see a: 2010 2009 Fatah government Hamas government National unity government Other / Not sure
- 29. Arab‐Israeli Conflict As you look at the internal Palestinian political divisions, do you prefer to see a: (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Fatah government Hamas government National unity government Other / Not sure
- 30. Arab‐Israeli Conflict A solution to the Palestinian‐Israeli conflict that leads to the establishment of a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza, with East Jerusalem as its capital, will happen only: 2010 36 and over Under 36 Through serious negotiations By being imposed by the UN By being imposed by the United States Through another Arab‐Israeli war It will never happen
- 31. Arab‐Israeli Conflict When you look at the Israeli‐Palestinian conflict, which of the following issues is the most central to you, assuming that they may all be important: 2010 (All) 36 and over Under 36 Establishment of a fully independent contiguous Palestinian state in WBG Arab sovereignty over East Jerusalem Right of Palestinian refugees to return to their homes
- 33. Arab‐Israeli Conflict In your opinion, what has been the most important consequence of the Israeli attack on the Gaza Flotilla? 2010 (All) 36 and over Under 36 Tension in Turkish‐Israeli relations International unanimity in condemning Israel Focus on the Gaza blockade and improving chances of its removal Bringing the solution to the Palestinian‐Israeli conflict nearer Challenge it posed to the American position No important consequences Change in the power formula in the region
- 34. Arab‐Israeli Conflict Whom among Palestinian leaders/personalities do you admire most? 2010 (All) 36 and over Under 36 Khalid Meshaal Mahmoud Abbas Marwan Barghouti Ismail Haniyeh Saeb Erekat Shaikh Ahmad Yaseen Salam Fayyad Mustafa Barghouti
- 35. Empathy
- 36. Empathy When you watch a movie or a program about the Jewish Holocaust, which of the following is closest to your feelings: 2010 (All) 36 and over Under 36 Resent it as I feel it brings sympathy toward Israel and Jews at the expense of Palestinians and Arabs I have mixed feelings Empathize with the Jews who suffered under the Nazis
- 37. Empathy
- 38. Arab‐Israeli Conflict When you see Palestinian civilian casualties in the conflict with Israel, which TWO of the following best describe your feelings: 2010 (All) 36 and over Under 36 Empathy with the Palestinian victims Need for revenge against Israel Helpless Angry with Arab governments Angry with the US Angry with the Palestinian leadership Same as when I see other humans suffer Palestinians brought it upon themselves
- 39. Empathy
- 40. Arab‐Israeli Conflict When you watch Israeli civilian casualties in the conflict with the Palestinians, which TWO of the following best describe your feelings: 2010 (All) 36 and over Under 36 Empathy with the Israeli victims Revenge for the Palestinians Angry with Israeli leaders Angry with the US Angry with the Palestinians Same as when I see other civilians killed Israelis brought it upon themselves
- 41. Empathy
- 42. Iran
- 43. Iran Do you believe that Iran is merely conducting research for peaceful purposes, or trying to develop nuclear weapons? 2010 2009 2008 Peaceful purposes Nuclear weapons
- 44. Iran Do you believe that Iran is merely conducting research for peaceful purposes, or trying to develop nuclear weapons? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Peaceful purposes Nuclear weapons
- 45. Iran There is international pressure on Iran to curtail its nuclear program. What is your opinion? 2010 2009 2008 Iran has the right to its nuclear program Iran should be pressured to stop its nuclear program
- 46. Iran There is international pressure on Iran to curtail its nuclear program. What is your opinion? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Iran has the right to its nuclear program Iran should be pressured to stop its nuclear program
- 47. Iran There is international pressure on Iran to curtail its nuclear program. What is your opinion? Iran has peaceful purposes Iran seeks nuclear weapons Iran has the right to its nuclear program Iran should be pressured to stop its nuclear program
- 48. Iran
- 49. Iran
- 50. Iran If Iran acquires nuclear weapons, which of the following is the likely outcome for the Middle East region? 2010 2009 2008 More positive Would not matter More negative
- 51. Iran If Iran acquires nuclear weapons, which of the following is the likely outcome for the Middle East region? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 More positive Would not matter More negative
- 52. Iran If Iran acquires nuclear weapons, which of the following is the likely outcome for the Middle East region? Iran has peaceful purposes Iran seeks nuclear weapons More positive Would not matter More negative
- 53. Iran
- 54. Iran
- 55. World View
- 56. World View In a world where there is only one superpower, which of the following countries would you prefer to be that superpower? 2010 2009 2008 France China Germany Britain Russia United States Pakistan
- 57. World View In a world where there is only one superpower, which of the following countries would you prefer to be that superpower? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 France China Germany Britain Russia United States Pakistan
- 58. World View If you had to live in one of the following countries, which one would you prefer most? 2010 2009 2008 France China Germany Britain Russia United States Pakistan
- 59. World View If you had to live in one of the following countries, which one would you prefer most? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 France China Germany Britain Russia United States Pakistan
- 60. World View If a member of your family had to study in one of the following countries, which country would you prefer most? 2010 2009 2008 France China Germany Britain Russia United States Pakistan
- 61. World View If a member of your family had to study in one of the following countries, which country would you prefer most? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 France China Germany Britain Russia United States Pakistan
- 62. World View Name TWO countries that you think pose the biggest threat to you. 2010 2009 2008 Israel United States Algeria United Kingdom Iran China Syria
- 63. World View Name TWO countries that you think pose the biggest threat to you. (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Israel United States Algeria United Kingdom Iran China Syria
- 64. World View Which TWO countries, Arab and non‐Arab, outside your own, are playing the most constructive role in the interest of the Middle East region? 2010 France Turkey Saudi Arabia Egypt UAE Syria Lebanon Germany United States
- 65. World View Name TWO countries where you think there is the most freedom and democracy for their own people. 2010 2009 2008 France United States Germany Canada Japan Switzerland United Kingdom Sweden Italy
- 66. World View Which world leader (outside your own country) do you admire most? 2010 2009 2008 Recep Erdogan Hugo Chavez Mahmoud Ahmadinajad Hassan Nasrallah Bashar al‐Assad Nicolas Sarkozy Osama bin Laden Jacques Chirac Sheikh M. bin Zayed Hosni Mubarak Sheikh M. bin Rashed Saddam Hussein
- 67. World View Which world leader (outside your own country) do you admire second most? 2010 2009 2008 Recep Erdogan Hugo Chavez Mahmoud Ahmadinajad Hassan Nasrallah Bashar al‐Assad Nicolas Sarkozy Osama bin Laden Jacques Chirac Sheikh M. bin Zayed Hosni Mubarak Sheikh M. bin Rashed Saddam Hussein
- 68. Identity
- 69. Identity When your government makes decisions, do you think it should base its decisions mostly on what is best for… 2010 2009 2008 Muslims Your country Arabs The world
- 70. Identity When your government makes decisions, do you think it should base its decisions mostly on what is best for… (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Muslims Your country Arabs The world
- 71. Identity
- 72. Identity Which of the following is your most important identity? 2010 2009 2008 Muslim Citizen of your country Arab Citizen of the world
- 73. Identity Which of the following is your most important identity? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Muslim Citizen of your country Arab Citizen of the world
- 74. Identity
- 75. Identity Which of the following is your second most important identity? 2010 2009 2008 Muslim Citizen of your country Arab Citizen of the world
- 76. Identity Which of the following is your second most important identity? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Muslim Citizen of your country Arab Citizen of the world
- 77. Identity Which of the following is your most important identity? (1st & 2nd choices combined) 2010 2009 2008 Muslim Citizen of your country Arab Citizen of the world
- 78. Media
- 79. Media
- 80. Media
- 81. Media
- 82. Media When you watch international news, which of the following network’s news broadcasts do you watch most often? 2010 2009 2008 Al Jazeera Egyptian network MBC Al Arabiya
- 83. Media When you watch international news, which of the following network’s news broadcasts do you watch most often? 2010 (w/ Egypt) 2010 (w/o Egypt) Al Jazeera Egyptian network MBC Al Arabiya
- 84. Media
- 85. Media Which network’s news broadcast is your second choice? 2010 2009 2008 Al Jazeera Egyptian network MBC Al Arabiya
- 86. Media
- 87. Media When you watch international news, which of the following network’s news broadcasts do you watch most often? (1st & 2nd choices combined) 2010 2009 2008 Al Jazeera Egyptian network MBC Al Arabiya
- 88. Media
- 89. Media
- 90. Media
- 91. Media
- 92. Media
- 93. Media When you use the internet, do you spend most of your time on language sites? (Among internet users only) (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Arabic French English Other
- 94. Media
- 95. Media When you watch television, how many days per week do you watch American or European movies, shows or music videos? (2010) 36 and over Under 36 Daily 5‐6 3‐4 0‐2