23.05.2012 Putting fundings into Mongolia's growing need for power, John Lee
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The document is a presentation about representing the 600 MW Chandgana power plant project. It provides background information and disclaimers, noting that the information is subject to changes and updates. It warns that the communication of the presentation does not constitute a commitment to any transaction. It also contains forward-looking statements about the development and production of the power plant, but warns that actual results could differ due to risks and uncertainties in the mining industry.
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23.05.2012 Putting fundings into Mongolia's growing need for power, John Lee
- 1. Representation of 600 MW Chandgana power plant
- 2. The information contained in this presentation (“Presentation”) has been prepared by Prophecy Resources Corp. (“Company”) and is being communicated for general background informational purposes only. The Presentation has not been independently verified and the information contained within is subject to updating, completion, revision, verification and further amendment. Neither the Company, nor its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees, or advisors give, has given or has authority to give, any representations or warranties (express or implied) as to, or in relation to, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information in this Presentation, or any revision thereof, or of any other written or oral information made or to be made available to any interested party or its advisers (all such information being referred to as “Information”) and liability therefore is expressly disclaimed. Information contained in this Presentation is the property of the Company. It is made available strictly for the purposes referred to above. Neither the communication of this Presentation nor any part of its contents is to be taken as any form of commitment on the part of the Company to proceed with any transaction. This Presentation does not constitute, or form part of, any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities in the Company, nor shall it, or the fact of its communication, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as any inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever with respect to such securities. The communication of this Presentation in or to persons in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons who may rceive communication of this Presentation should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions in advance of communication to them of this Presentation. In particular, this Presentation has not been approved by an authorised person pursuant to Section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“FSMA”) and accordingly it is being delivered in the United Kingdom only to persons to whom this Presentation may be delivered without contravening the financial promotion prohibition in Section 21 of the FSMA. Those persons are described in the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (“Order”) and include persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments and who fall within the category of person set out in Article 19 (investment professionals) of the Order. In addition, other than a limited number of persons reasonably believed to be qualified institutional buyers (as defined in Rule 144A under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended) or accredited investors (as defined in the National Instrument 45/106), neither this Presentation nor any copy of its may be transmitted into the United States of America or Canada or distributed directly or indirectly, in the United States of America or Canada, or to any resident thereof except in compliance with the applicable securities laws. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable US or Canadian securities laws. By accepting communication of this Presentation, the recipient represents and warrants that it is a person to whom this Presentation may be communicated without a violation of the laws of any relevant jurisdiction. This Presentation is not to be communicated to any other person or used for any other purpose and any other person who receives communication of this Presentation should not rely or act upon it. In furnishing this Presentation, the Company does not undertake or agree to any obligation to provide the attendee with access to any additional information or to update this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, this Presentation that may become apparent either during, or at any time after this Presentation. This Presentation contains or incorporates by reference “forward-looking information” which means disclosure regarding possible events, conditions, acquisitions, or results of operations that is based on assumptions about future conditions and courses of action and includes future oriented financial information with respect to prospective results of operations, financial position or cash flows that is presented either as a forecast or a projection, and also includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the future financial and operating performance of the Company any of its subsidiaries and other considerations as set out in more detail in the documents filed by the Company with the Toronto Stock Exchange. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “proposes”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates”, or “believes” or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company and/or its current and proposed subsidiaries to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date of this Presentation and the Company disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or results or otherwise. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein. In addition, investors are cautioned that this presentation may contain information about mineral properties adjacent to or near the Company’s properties and in which the Company has no right or interest. Mineral deposits on such adjacent or near properties are not indicative of the mineral deposits, if any, which may be found on the Company’s properties. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. Neither the TSX nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release. Certain statements contained in this Presentation, including statements which may contain words such as "expects", "anticipates", "intends", "plans", "believes", "estimates", or similar expressions, and statements related to matters which are not historical facts, are forward-looking information within the meaning of securities laws. Such forward-looking statements, which reflect management’s expectations regarding Prophecy’s future growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities are based on certain factors and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results, performance, or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this Presentation include, without limitation, statements regarding the development and production of the Company’s Chandgana Power Plant and other information concerning possible or assumed future results of operations of Prophecy. Material risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, exploration, development and production risks, risks related to the Company not having a history of mineral production, risks related to the development of the Chandgana Power Plant, risks related to the uncertainty of mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates, the cyclical nature of the mining industry, risks related to the availability of capital and financing on acceptable terms, commodity price fluctuations, currency exchange rate and interest rate risks, risks associated with operating in foreign jurisdictions, uninsured risks, regulatory changes, defects in title, availability of personnel, materials and equipment on a timely basis, accidents or equipment breakdowns, delays in receiving government approvals, and unanticipated environmental impacts on operations and costs to remedy same. Assumptions underlying our expectations regarding forward-looking statements or information contained in this Presentation include, among others, that all required third party contractual, regulatory and governmental approvals will be obtained for the development, construction and production of the Company’s properties, there being no significant disruptions affecting operations, whether due to labour disruptions, currency exchange rates being approximately consistent with current levels, certain price assumptions for coal, prices for and availability of diesel, parts and equipment and other key supplies remaining consistent with current levels, production forecasts meeting expectations, the accuracy of the Company’s current mineral resource and reserve estimates, labour and materials costs increasing on a basis consistent with the Company’s current expectations and that any additional required financing will be available on reasonable terms. Although Prophecy has attempted to identify important risks and factors that could cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors and risks that cause actions, events or results not anticipated, estimated or intended. Accordingly, readers should not place any undue reliance on forward-looking statements as such information may not be appropriate for other purposes. We disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. Last updated May 14, 2012 Disclaimer 2
- 3. • Leading energy play, focus on developing energy solutions for Mongolia • 1.4* billion tonnes of coal in two distinct properties in Mongolia • Chandgana ($10million+ invested): 600MW mine mouth power plant license received, uses environmentally-friendly technology and is first independent power plant in Mongolia • Ulaan Ovoo ($30million+ invested): The largest independent thermal coal supplier in Mongolia • As of May 10th, 2012, 83% of Prophecy Coal’s market cap is attributed to its equity share position in Prophecy Platinum Corp (TSX.V: NKL) *Ulaan Ovoo: 174 million tonnes of measured and 34 million tonnes of indicated coal. Ulaan Ovoo’s resource numbers are from the Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc report referenced in the Dec 2010, 43-101 Prefeasibility Study by Wardrop Engineering. Chandgana consists of two properties-Chandgana Tal and Chandgana Khavtgai. Chandgana Tal consists of 141 mt of measured resource. Chandgana Khavtgai consists of 509 mt measured and 539 mt indicated resource. Chandgana Khavtgai’s resource estimates are based on the September 2010 NI 43-101 Chandgana Khavtgai Technical Report by Kravits Geological Services, LLC. The report is authored by Christopher M. Kravits CPG, LPG of Kravits Geological Services, LLC., who was an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101 at the time of report preparation. And the Chandgana Tal resource estimate is also based on the September 2007 NI 43-101 Chandgana Tal Technical Report by Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc..The report is authored by Mr. Gardar G. Dahl, Jr., CPG of Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc., who is an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101. 3
- 4. Shares 225 Million (basic); 262 million (diluted) Market Capitalization ~62 million CDN* Ownership 50% Retail, 30% Institutional, 20% Management & Directors Investment Portfolio $51 million in Prophecy Platinum (TSX.V-NKL) 22.5m shares, Victory Nickel 36.6m shares, Compliance Energy 5m shares Locations Canadian Office: Vancouver, BC Canada Mongolian Office: Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia *As of 05/01/12 4
- 5. John Lee, CFA – Chairman / CEO • Founder of Prophecy Coal Corp. and Prophecy Platinum Corp. Greg Hall – Director • Co-founder of Prophecy Coal Corp. and Prophecy Platinum Corp. • Former Director of Silvercorp Jivko Savov - Director • Over 15 years of energy and natural resources experience focused on emerging markets. • Head of Global M&A at Gazprom in London. • Former Deputy Chief Executive Officer of En+ Group. Chuluunbaatar Baz - Director • President and Chairman of Monnis Group • Monnis has over 1,000+ employees; top 15 enterprises in Mongolia Michael Deats - Director • Former Managing Director of BP Coal South Africa, Ex-Director of Eskom 5
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- 7. Mongolia is currently importing power from Russia at a rate of $0.08 per kw/h PROXIMITY TO CHINA: - CHINA: 350 KM - BEIJING: 1,167 KM Central Energy system (CES) Eastern Energy system (EES) New transmission lines 7 Ulaan Ovoo Chandgana *Source: Eurasia Capital
- 8. • GDP growth 2011: 17.3% • Compounded GDP growth since 2000: 123% • Power supply capacity from 2000 ~ 2016: ~750MW (until TPP5 starts) • Largest coal supplier to China in 2011 (30MT), now exceeds Australia • Tavan Tolgoi coking coal to triple production to 13MT/yr by 2015 • Oyu Tolgoi Cu-Au scheduled production in 2013, could boost GDP by 30% FAST GROWTH = RISING ENERGY DEMAND *GDP source and power supply figures from the World Bank Coal data source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-05/mongolia-s-renewables-belittle-world-s-nuclear-supply.html 8
- 9. 9 Blue Sky Tower, UBOyu Tolgoi, MongoliaCentral Tower, UB Tavan Tolgoi, MongoliaShangriLa Hotel, UB
- 10. Source: Energy International Corporation, Eurasia Capital’s Mongolia Outlook Report 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Russia EES CES Demand Supply MW 744 MW Deficit Russia EES CES Power Supply / Demand and GDP Growth Forecast CES – Central Energy System EES – Eastern Energy System 10 $16 $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 GDP,US$bn
- 11. • Second most polluted air of any city in the world - World Health Organization (WHO) • Population quadrupled since 2000 (1.7 million) • GDP per capita in 2011 USD$3,173 • Antiquated and inefficient power infrastructure lacking pollution controls 11 Source: The World Bank (Dec 2009). Mongolia: Air Pollution in Ulaanbaatar – Initial Assessment of Current Situation and Effects of Abatement Measures. World Health Organization-Global Health Observatory Data Repository-‘Annual mean concentration of PM10 in cities’ Ulaanbaatar Ulaanbaatar
- 12. 12 Representation of 600 MW Chandgana power plant
- 13. Mongolia is currently importing power from Russia at a rate of $0.08 per kw/h PROXIMITY TO CHINA: - CHINA: 350 KM - BEIJING: 1,167 KM Central Energy system (CES) Eastern Energy system (EES) New transmission lines 13 Ulaan Ovoo Chandgana *Source: Eurasia Capital
- 14. 100% Owned Resource: 1.2 Billion Tonnes* (M&I) Thermal Coal Power plant license granted by the Mongolian Government 0.5:1 Strip Ratio* Mining license obtained for 140MT Chandgana Tal Close proximity to infrastructure 150km From Central Energy System *Chandgana consists of two properties-Chandgana Tal and Chandgana Khavtgai. Chandgana Tal consists of 141 mt of measured resource. Chandgana Khavtgai consists of 509 mt measured and 539 mt indicated resource. Chandgana Khavtgai’s resource estimates are based on the September 2010 NI 43-101 Chandgana Khavtgai Technical Report by Kravits Geological Services, LLC. The report is authored by Christopher M. Kravits CPG, LPG of Kravits Geological Services, LLC., who was an independent Qualified Person at the time of report preparation under NI 43-101. And the Chandgana Tal resource estimate is also based on the September 2007 NI 43-101 Chandgana Tal Technical Report by Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc..The report is authored by Mr. Gardar G. Dahl, Jr., CPG of Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc., who is an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101.. Chandgana Tal has a strip ratio of 0.5:1 and Chandgana Khavtgai has a strip ratio of 2.2:1. Power plant conceptual rendering Chandgana deposit & proposed power plant site 14
- 15. Coal 20m Clay 40m Coal Chandgana Khavtgai Chandgana Tal • Mining License Obtained for 140MT Chandgana Tal • 0.68% sulphur / 12.5% ash • 2 km from paved road • 150 km from Central Energy System • 100km2 Prospective Claims 15
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- 17. Coal from Chandgana (or contiguous license) Power Transmission Power Plant Proposed Installed capacity: Phase I: 600 MW (connect to CES, EES of Mongolia) Phase II: 3600 MW (connect to China) - Helping to meet Mongolia’s Power Needs - 350km to China 150km to gridMine mouth Central Energy system (CES) Eastern Energy system (EES) 17
- 18. Proposed output increase of 600MW to 4200MW would enable Mongolia to export power directly into China via existing Ultra High Voltage Lines. 18Source: SSE, sxcoal, McQuarie Research Beijing
- 19. Total Electricity Consumption Source: China Electricity Council 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E Billion kWh 19
- 20. Source: The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) The World Fact Book Electricpowerconsumption (kWhpercapita) 20 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Mongolia China India Japan USA
- 21. Estimated time line: • TSX listing (Q4 2011) • Power plant license (Q4 2011) • Conclude PPA* (Q2 2012) • Award EPC** Contract (Q2 2012) • Project financing (Q4 2012) • Start construction (Q2 2013) • Power on (Q4 2015) *PPA – Power Purchase Agreement **EPC – Engineering, Procurement & Construction Scale model of Chandgana power plant 21 Scale model of Chandgana power plant
- 22. Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Conclude PPA* Award EPC** Contract Commence Construction Power On Conclude Project Financing Power plant construction license received Power Plant License Granted *PPA – Power Purchase Agreement **EPC – Engineering, Procurement & Construction 22
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- 24. 100% Owned – Status: Commissioned Resource: 209 million tonnes* (M&I) thermal coal – 20+ year mine life** 1.8: 1 Strip Ratio** - Surface Mining Production: 2011: 370,000 tonnes mined (133,000 tonnes sold) 2012: 300,000 tonnes (est.) Markets: Mongolia, Russia $30million invested (mine + equipment) 2011 2010 *Coal resources of 174 million tonnes measured and 34 million tonnes indicated from the NI 43-101 Behre Dolbear report prepared in 2007. **Information based on Dec. 2010, 43-101 Prefeasibility Study by Wardrop Engineering. Strip ratio applies to the initial starting pit area only. 24
- 25. Abundant High Quality Thermal Coal • (ar) Min. 5,000 kcal/kg GCV* • Max. 1% sulfur / 11.3% ash** Low Cost Mining • Single seam – 50m thickness • 1.8:1 strip ratio** Equipment Received in April 2011 • Two sets CAT mining fleets: 500kt/annum • 18 SCANIA and 4 UD coal haul trucks ar – as received / GCV** – gross calorific value **Information based on Dec. 2010, 43-101 Prefeasibility Study by Wardrop Engineering. 25
- 26. Mongolia is currently importing power from Russia at a rate of $0.08 per kw/h PROXIMITY TO CHINA: - CHINA: 350 KM - BEIJING: 1,167 KM Central Energy system (CES) Eastern Energy system (EES) New transmission lines 26 Ulaan Ovoo Chandgana *Source: Eurasia Capital
- 27. • Leading energy play, focus on developing energy solutions for Mongolia • 1.4* billion tonnes of coal in two distinct properties in Mongolia • Chandgana ($10million+ invested): 600MW mine mouth power plant license received, uses environmentally-friendly technology and is first independent power plant in Mongolia • Ulaan Ovoo ($30million+ invested): The largest independent thermal coal supplier in Mongolia • As of May 10th, 2012, 83% of Prophecy Coal’s market cap is attributed to its equity share position in Prophecy Platinum Corp (TSX.V: NKL) *Ulaan Ovoo: 174 million tonnes of measured and 34 million tonnes of indicated coal. Ulaan Ovoo’s resource numbers are from the Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc report referenced in the Dec 2010, 43-101 Prefeasibility Study by Wardrop Engineering. Chandgana consists of two properties-Chandgana Tal and Chandgana Khavtgai. Chandgana Tal consists of 141 mt of measured resource. Chandgana Khavtgai consists of 509 mt measured and 539 mt indicated resource. Chandgana Khavtgai’s resource estimates are based on the September 2010 NI 43-101 Chandgana Khavtgai Technical Report by Kravits Geological Services, LLC. The report is authored by Christopher M. Kravits CPG, LPG of Kravits Geological Services, LLC., who was an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101 at the time of report preparation. And the Chandgana Tal resource estimate is also based on the September 2007 NI 43-101 Chandgana Tal Technical Report by Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc..The report is authored by Mr. Gardar G. Dahl, Jr., CPG of Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc., who is an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101. 27
- 28. CANADIAN OFFICE 342 Water Street – 2nd Floor Vancouver, BC Canada V6B 1B6 Phone: 604-569-3661 Fax: 604-569-3617 Toll Free: 1-800-459-5583 [email protected] MONGOLIAN OFFICE 8/F Monnis Tower, Chinggis Ave. 1st Khoroo, Sukhbaatar District Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia 14240 Tel: +976.11.331669 Fax: +976.11.312721 [email protected] 28
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