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Einstein Prediction Builder
All you need to know
Colin Linsky
Lead Solution Engineer, EMEA Einstein Analytics Team
clinsky@salesforce.com
Topics for today
1. AI at Salesforce
2. Creating intelligent, data driven experiences
3. Seeing is believing – a worked example of Prediction Builder
1. AI and Salesforce
The Fourth Industrial Revolution
TODAY1970s1800s1700s
4th Industrial Revolution
Intelligence
3rd Industrial Revolution
Computing2nd Industrial Revolution
Electricity1st Industrial Revolution
Steam
Don’t just take my word for it!
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-what-it-means-and-how-to-
“Whether consumers or businesses, customers are
increasingly at the epicenter of the economy, which
is all about improving how customers are served.”
Adopting AI
“Many organizations
have successfully
launched cognitive
pilots, but they haven’t
had as much success
rolling them out
organization-wide. ”
Salesforce Einstein
Augmented Intelligence for CRM
world’s
smartest
CRM
=
customer
data
+ +AI
Salesforce
Platform
The Enterprise Can Benefit From AI Too
Iulia Creanga
Sales Process Driver
Schneider Electric
Katrice Riley
Client Success Specialist
ZeroCater
Suvi Silvanto
Marketing Director,
Service Business
Kone
Annika Milton
Sr. Project Manager
adidas
Zac Otero
Salesforce Lead
BKD CPAs
& Advisors
Sales:
increase
conversion
rates
Service:
increase
customer
satisfaction
Marketing:
increase
customer
engagement
Commerce:
increase
revenue
IT:
be innovative,
always
84%
of enterprise execs
believe AI will help
them create a
competitive
advantage
Source: “Reshaping Business with Artificial Intelligence” MIT Sloan Management Review & Boston Consulting Group
Einstein Makes our Apps and Platform SMART
Store Data
Make Predictions
Analyze Results
Take Action
Rapidly Automate
Trusted Cloud
myEinstein
Lightning
Einstein Analytics
Sales Cloud
Einstein
Service Cloud
Einstein
Marketing
Cloud Einstein
Community
Cloud Einstein
Commerce
Cloud Einstein
Einstein Prediction Builder Einstein
Discovery
Einstein Vision
& Language
CRM
data
Email, calendar, social data IoT, external
data
Einstein Apps
“Nice, you’ve built templated
applications to support standard
decisions but my business is unique
– can I use the same technology
free-form to support my own Use
Cases?”
2. Creating intelligent data driven
experiences
Will this lead convert?
Will this opportunity close?
Will this customer stop using our services/contract?
Will this customer renew a contract?
Will this case escalate?
Will this case be solved at First Contact?
Can I upsell to this customer?
Will this customer open or click an email?
Will this invoice be paid in time?
Will this product pass QA?
“Yes or
No…..”
… is the CSAT going to be?
… revenue will we make with this customer?
… longer before this opportunity closes?
… longer before this case closes?
… longer before we need to service this
installation?
… products will be sold this month?
… times will I need to contact this Doctor?
… cases are needed to resolve this issue?
… times a week will orders be placed?
“How much…..”
“How many…..”
… is the CSAT going to be?
… revenue will we make with this customer?
… longer before this opportunity closes?
… longer before this case closes?
… longer before we need to service this
installation?
… products will be sold this month?
… times will I need to contact this Doctor?
… cases are needed to resolve this issue?
… times a week will orders be placed?
“How
much…..”
“How
many…..”
Step One: Define The Problem
Positive
Examples
Records that have
churned
Negative
Examples
Records that have not
churned
Records that we will give a
score for
Records to
Predict
Example: “I want to predict churn, but what does it
mean?”
Break your records down into three or four
buckets
Records to
Ignore
Irrelevant records
(Account has not purchased
in the last six months)
(Account have purchased
in last three months)
(Account that have not purchased
in the last three months)
(Accounts that don’t fit
into the other buckets)
… is the CSAT going to be?
… revenue will we make with this customer?
… longer before this opportunity closes?
… longer before this case closes?
… longer before we need to service this
installation?
… products will be sold this month?
… times will I need to contact this Doctor?
… cases are needed to resolve this issue?
… times a week will orders be placed?
“How
much…..”
“How
many…..”
Step Two: Capture Churn in a Formula
Field
“TRUE”
Records that have
churned
“FALSE”
Records that have not
churned
Records that we will give a
score for
NULL
Example: “I want to predict churn, but what does it
mean?”
Represent the buckets as responses from a formula
field
“IGNORE”
Irrelevant records
(Account has not purchased
in the last six months)
(Account have purchased
in last three months)
(Account that have not purchased
in the last three months)
(Accounts that don’t fit
into the other buckets)
Transmogrifai
Decision Support in the Real World
Prediction Builder (Core)
 Easy admin, self-sustained prediction engine and deployment
Stories in Einstein Analytics (Einstein Analytics Plus)
 Flexible, comprehensive, open and inclusive insight generation and model building
capabilities
Einstein Analytics (Einstein Analytics Growth)
 Tools for surfacing insights right where they are needed, in the format that has the most
impact, and ready to take action from
* Prediction Builder + Discovery (Einstein Predictions)
Building and embedding your own predictions
Einstein Analytics
Interactive analytics and production-ready dashboards & reports
Interactive Analytics
Unlimited exploration of relationships and differences
Deployable Insights
Embed charts, reports, metrics, guides and many other types
of insight directly into consumer and customer systems using
widgets
Industrial Strength Data Handling
Features and functions designed to work seamlessly with
customer data inside and outside of Salesforce
Native CRM Insight into Action Framework
See something and then take action on it right from within the
insight
Einstein Analytics Stories
Advanced analytics at the heart of Salesforce
Automated Analytics
Analyze millions of data combinations in minutes
Unbiased Insights
Understand what happened, why it happened, what will
happen, and what to do about it
Narrative Explanations
Natural language-based insights and stories exported to
Salesforce or Microsoft Office
Recommended Actions
Take action, stay on top of changes, and gain advantage
right where the decisions happen
speed to insight
+10x
*Source: Salesforce Customer Relationship Survey conducted 2014-2016 among
10,500+ customers randomly selected. Response sizes per question vary.
Prediction Builder
Automated Predictive Model building and deployment
Automated Analytics
Wizard driven setup and ease of administration
Adaptive Sensitivity
Intelligent model building and control of inputs
Predictions Embedded into Records
Automated Model Management
Model competition and automatic sensitivity to changes in
data patterns
Writeback process automated
https://engineering.salesforce.com/open-sourcing-transmogrifai-4e5d0e098da2
3. Finding, configuring and running
Einstein Prediction Builder
Demo
Wouldn’t it be great to know in advance which invoices
were going to be late to settle?
Einstein Analytics Prediction Builder
https://help.salesforce.com/articleView?id=custom_ai_home.htm&type=5
Tips: Resources
Einstein Prediction Builder Accesses data from a single object at a time
• All data fields must be found on the Salesforce object
• Prepare data (including rollups/lookups/calculations/formulae) ahead of Model building phase
• Multiple Prediction Builder models can be built on a single object using
• Segmenting
• Filtering
• Model building record set vs scoring record set – bake that mindset into data prep!
Modelling Data
Tips: Operations - Basics
Einstein Prediction Builder works with all custom objects, and supports the following standard
objects.
Supported Objects
Tips: Operations – Salesforce Objects
Account
Asset
Campaign
Case
Contact
ContractLineItem
Entitlement
Lead
LiveChatTranscript
Opportunity
Order
OrderItem
Product2
Quote
QuoteLineItem
ServiceContract
Einstein Prediction Builder can make predictions for the following types of fields.
• Checkbox
• Specially constructed formula fields
• Numeric
Supported Data Types for Target
Tips: Operations
So what does all of that mean?
o Models built by Admins and Scores consumed by end users, customers or colleagues
o Admins and Business Users who know their domain and data work as a team (it’s not a “build
me a model request”!)
o Quick/Simple to set up and easy to maintain
o Designed for a single Salesforce object per model
o Targetable to segments of the records for model building and model scoring
o Automatically score records daily
o Automatically the models refresh monthly
o Can be deployed and used in conjunction with Einstein Analytics Plus Stories models
Einstein Prediction Builder Models are:
Key Takeaways
Thank You
First Name Last Name
Title of Presenter
email@salesforce.com
@twitterhandle
Remember to tell us what you think in the event survey
www.LondonsCalling.net/survey/
Back up slides
The Details tab on the prediction scorecard shows a list of predictors for your model. It shows
information about each predictor, such as impact, correlation, and importance or weight. If your
predictive model contains more than 100 predictors, you might not see them all. The scorecard
shows you the top 100 predictors ranked by impact, and the top 100 ranked by correlation. If your
model has at least 100 predictors, the number displayed in the scorecard is likely to be between 100
and 200.
Limits
Operations
Setup
Configuration
Setup
Configuration
Setting up a new Prediction Builder Model
Creating the Model name
Selecting the Salesforce object
Selecting the target field and modelling records
Selecting (potential) predictor fields
Selecting fields (cont)
Creating the scoring fields
Final check
Final check (cont)
Final check (cont)
Confirmation that the model is being sent to the factory!
Awaiting news…
Reviewing the model
Model overview
Predictor diagnosis
Storing the predicted values
Viewing the model scores
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Einstein Analytics Prediction Builder

  • 1. Einstein Prediction Builder All you need to know Colin Linsky Lead Solution Engineer, EMEA Einstein Analytics Team [email protected]
  • 2. Topics for today 1. AI at Salesforce 2. Creating intelligent, data driven experiences 3. Seeing is believing – a worked example of Prediction Builder
  • 3. 1. AI and Salesforce
  • 4. The Fourth Industrial Revolution TODAY1970s1800s1700s 4th Industrial Revolution Intelligence 3rd Industrial Revolution Computing2nd Industrial Revolution Electricity1st Industrial Revolution Steam
  • 5. Don’t just take my word for it! https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-what-it-means-and-how-to- “Whether consumers or businesses, customers are increasingly at the epicenter of the economy, which is all about improving how customers are served.”
  • 6. Adopting AI “Many organizations have successfully launched cognitive pilots, but they haven’t had as much success rolling them out organization-wide. ”
  • 7. Salesforce Einstein Augmented Intelligence for CRM world’s smartest CRM = customer data + +AI Salesforce Platform
  • 8. The Enterprise Can Benefit From AI Too Iulia Creanga Sales Process Driver Schneider Electric Katrice Riley Client Success Specialist ZeroCater Suvi Silvanto Marketing Director, Service Business Kone Annika Milton Sr. Project Manager adidas Zac Otero Salesforce Lead BKD CPAs & Advisors Sales: increase conversion rates Service: increase customer satisfaction Marketing: increase customer engagement Commerce: increase revenue IT: be innovative, always 84% of enterprise execs believe AI will help them create a competitive advantage Source: “Reshaping Business with Artificial Intelligence” MIT Sloan Management Review & Boston Consulting Group
  • 9. Einstein Makes our Apps and Platform SMART Store Data Make Predictions Analyze Results Take Action Rapidly Automate Trusted Cloud myEinstein Lightning Einstein Analytics Sales Cloud Einstein Service Cloud Einstein Marketing Cloud Einstein Community Cloud Einstein Commerce Cloud Einstein Einstein Prediction Builder Einstein Discovery Einstein Vision & Language CRM data Email, calendar, social data IoT, external data Einstein Apps
  • 10. “Nice, you’ve built templated applications to support standard decisions but my business is unique – can I use the same technology free-form to support my own Use Cases?”
  • 11. 2. Creating intelligent data driven experiences
  • 12. Will this lead convert? Will this opportunity close? Will this customer stop using our services/contract? Will this customer renew a contract? Will this case escalate? Will this case be solved at First Contact? Can I upsell to this customer? Will this customer open or click an email? Will this invoice be paid in time? Will this product pass QA? “Yes or No…..”
  • 13. … is the CSAT going to be? … revenue will we make with this customer? … longer before this opportunity closes? … longer before this case closes? … longer before we need to service this installation? … products will be sold this month? … times will I need to contact this Doctor? … cases are needed to resolve this issue? … times a week will orders be placed? “How much…..” “How many…..”
  • 14. … is the CSAT going to be? … revenue will we make with this customer? … longer before this opportunity closes? … longer before this case closes? … longer before we need to service this installation? … products will be sold this month? … times will I need to contact this Doctor? … cases are needed to resolve this issue? … times a week will orders be placed? “How much…..” “How many…..” Step One: Define The Problem Positive Examples Records that have churned Negative Examples Records that have not churned Records that we will give a score for Records to Predict Example: “I want to predict churn, but what does it mean?” Break your records down into three or four buckets Records to Ignore Irrelevant records (Account has not purchased in the last six months) (Account have purchased in last three months) (Account that have not purchased in the last three months) (Accounts that don’t fit into the other buckets)
  • 15. … is the CSAT going to be? … revenue will we make with this customer? … longer before this opportunity closes? … longer before this case closes? … longer before we need to service this installation? … products will be sold this month? … times will I need to contact this Doctor? … cases are needed to resolve this issue? … times a week will orders be placed? “How much…..” “How many…..” Step Two: Capture Churn in a Formula Field “TRUE” Records that have churned “FALSE” Records that have not churned Records that we will give a score for NULL Example: “I want to predict churn, but what does it mean?” Represent the buckets as responses from a formula field “IGNORE” Irrelevant records (Account has not purchased in the last six months) (Account have purchased in last three months) (Account that have not purchased in the last three months) (Accounts that don’t fit into the other buckets)
  • 17. Decision Support in the Real World Prediction Builder (Core)  Easy admin, self-sustained prediction engine and deployment Stories in Einstein Analytics (Einstein Analytics Plus)  Flexible, comprehensive, open and inclusive insight generation and model building capabilities Einstein Analytics (Einstein Analytics Growth)  Tools for surfacing insights right where they are needed, in the format that has the most impact, and ready to take action from * Prediction Builder + Discovery (Einstein Predictions) Building and embedding your own predictions
  • 18. Einstein Analytics Interactive analytics and production-ready dashboards & reports Interactive Analytics Unlimited exploration of relationships and differences Deployable Insights Embed charts, reports, metrics, guides and many other types of insight directly into consumer and customer systems using widgets Industrial Strength Data Handling Features and functions designed to work seamlessly with customer data inside and outside of Salesforce Native CRM Insight into Action Framework See something and then take action on it right from within the insight
  • 19. Einstein Analytics Stories Advanced analytics at the heart of Salesforce Automated Analytics Analyze millions of data combinations in minutes Unbiased Insights Understand what happened, why it happened, what will happen, and what to do about it Narrative Explanations Natural language-based insights and stories exported to Salesforce or Microsoft Office Recommended Actions Take action, stay on top of changes, and gain advantage right where the decisions happen speed to insight +10x *Source: Salesforce Customer Relationship Survey conducted 2014-2016 among 10,500+ customers randomly selected. Response sizes per question vary.
  • 20. Prediction Builder Automated Predictive Model building and deployment Automated Analytics Wizard driven setup and ease of administration Adaptive Sensitivity Intelligent model building and control of inputs Predictions Embedded into Records Automated Model Management Model competition and automatic sensitivity to changes in data patterns Writeback process automated https://engineering.salesforce.com/open-sourcing-transmogrifai-4e5d0e098da2
  • 21. 3. Finding, configuring and running Einstein Prediction Builder
  • 22. Demo Wouldn’t it be great to know in advance which invoices were going to be late to settle?
  • 25. Einstein Prediction Builder Accesses data from a single object at a time • All data fields must be found on the Salesforce object • Prepare data (including rollups/lookups/calculations/formulae) ahead of Model building phase • Multiple Prediction Builder models can be built on a single object using • Segmenting • Filtering • Model building record set vs scoring record set – bake that mindset into data prep! Modelling Data Tips: Operations - Basics
  • 26. Einstein Prediction Builder works with all custom objects, and supports the following standard objects. Supported Objects Tips: Operations – Salesforce Objects Account Asset Campaign Case Contact ContractLineItem Entitlement Lead LiveChatTranscript Opportunity Order OrderItem Product2 Quote QuoteLineItem ServiceContract
  • 27. Einstein Prediction Builder can make predictions for the following types of fields. • Checkbox • Specially constructed formula fields • Numeric Supported Data Types for Target Tips: Operations
  • 28. So what does all of that mean?
  • 29. o Models built by Admins and Scores consumed by end users, customers or colleagues o Admins and Business Users who know their domain and data work as a team (it’s not a “build me a model request”!) o Quick/Simple to set up and easy to maintain o Designed for a single Salesforce object per model o Targetable to segments of the records for model building and model scoring o Automatically score records daily o Automatically the models refresh monthly o Can be deployed and used in conjunction with Einstein Analytics Plus Stories models Einstein Prediction Builder Models are: Key Takeaways
  • 30. Thank You First Name Last Name Title of Presenter [email protected] @twitterhandle Remember to tell us what you think in the event survey www.LondonsCalling.net/survey/
  • 32. The Details tab on the prediction scorecard shows a list of predictors for your model. It shows information about each predictor, such as impact, correlation, and importance or weight. If your predictive model contains more than 100 predictors, you might not see them all. The scorecard shows you the top 100 predictors ranked by impact, and the top 100 ranked by correlation. If your model has at least 100 predictors, the number displayed in the scorecard is likely to be between 100 and 200. Limits Operations
  • 35. Setting up a new Prediction Builder Model
  • 38. Selecting the target field and modelling records
  • 45. Confirmation that the model is being sent to the factory!