Measuring alternative correlates of
trust in institutions:
political fairness vs. social equality
Mónica Ferrín Pereira
Workshop on Measuring Trust and Social Capital
Sciences Po – HLEG on Measurement of Economic Performance
and Social Progress
Trust in institutions within the frame of
ESS Round 6
Round 6 of the European Social Survey on ‘Citizens’ Understandings
and Evaluations of Democracy
Focus on Europeans’ support for democracy in the light of the
‘crisis’ of democracy
Trust in institutions as a basic ingredient of support for democracy
ESS Round 6 helps to:
- better understand what trust in institutions ‘means’
- investigate what matters most for citizens’ trust (different
individuals and different contexts)
A few notes to start with
ESS round 6 includes 22 OECD countries + 7 non-OECD
Two alternative measures of ESS round 6:
1) Satisfaction with government:
Now thinking about the [country] government, how satisfied are
you with the way it is doing its job? (Please use this card, where 0
means extremely dissatisfied and 10 means extremely satisfied)
2) Trust in institutions:
Using this card, please tell me on a score of 0-10 how much you
personally trust each of the institutions I read out. 0 means you do
not trust an institution at all, and 10 means you have complete trust.
The [country’s] parliament
The legal system
Trust in and satisfaction with government
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
CH NO DE UK HU FR PL ES PT
2012 2008-2012 2002-2012
Satisfaction with government in 2012 & change since 2002/8Confidence in government in 2014 & change since 2007
Source: ESS 2002-2012
http://www.oecd.org/gov/trust-in-
government.htm
Satisfaction with government & democracy
& Trust in Parliament
Ideal & reality
Increasing discontent with democracy, why?
Mismatch between what people demand and
what they get
New measures:
Importance
How democracy should be?
Evaluations
How democracy is?
Of many different
attributes of
democracy
Importance
Using this card, please tell me how important
you think it is for democracy in general...
that national elections are free and fair
Evaluations
Using this card, please tell me to what extent
you think each of the following statements
applies in [country].
National elections in [country] are free and fair
Importance
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Evaluations
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Importance by country
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
equality of
law
fair elections transparency reliable
media
vertical
account
minority
rights
opposition
free
media free alternative
parties
NO DE IT FR
Importance by country
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
protection poverty equal income participation decisions
NO DE IT FR
Importance by country
Evaluation by country
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
equality of
law
fair elections transparency reliable media vertical
account
minority
rights
opposition
free
media free alternative
parties
NO DE IT FR
Evaluation by country
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
protection poverty equal income participation decisions
NO DE IT FR
Evaluation by country
Trust & evaluations: correlations
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
deliberation
opposition free
media free
media reliable
vertical account
minority rights
participation decisions
alternative parties
fair elections
equal law
protection poverty
equal income
transparency
Satisfaction with government Trust in legal system Trust in parliament
Trust & importance & evaluations
.31.32.33.34.35.36
0/9 10/Extr
Importance of transparency
Marginal effect of Transparency on Satisfaction with government
.28
.3
.32.34.36
0/9 10/Ext
Importance of protection of poverty
Marginal Effects of poverty on Satisfaction with government
Trust & importance & evaluations
.3
0/9 10/Extr
Importance of equal law
Marginal Effects of equal law on Trust in Parliament
.24.25.26.27.28.29
0 1
Importance of protection of poverty
Marginal Effects of poverty on Trust in Parliament
.22.24.26.28
.3
West East South
Marginal Effects of equal law on Satisfaction with government
Trust & eval. political fairness & country
.25
.3
.35
.4
.45
West East South
Marginal Effects of poverty on Satisfaction with Government
Trust & eval. social equality & country
.25.26.27.28.29
West East South
Marginal Effects of equal law on Trust in Parliament
Trust & eval. political fairness & country
.2
.25
.3
.35
West East South
Marginal Effects of poverty on Trust in Parliament
Trust & eval. social equality & country
Summarizing
- Trust as a mix of evaluations and importance
- Trust as a mix of political fairness & social
equality
- Correlates of trust different across countries
Thank you!
Democracy: a multidimensional concept
ELECTORAL/DEMOCRATIC DIMENSION
Competition
Free and fair elections
Differentiated offer by parties
Parties free to criticize
Vertical accountability
Retrospective accountability
Justification by government
Deliberation Participation in political discussion
Responsiveness Responsibility to other EU governments
LIBERAL DIMENSION
Rule of law Equality before the law
Horizontal accountability Checks and balances (courts)
Minority rights Protection of minority rights
Freedom of press
Press freedom
Media reliability
Democracy: a multidimensional concept
SOCIAL DIMENSION
Social Justice
Protection against poverty
Reduction income differences
PARTICIPATORY DIMENSION
Direct participation Participation in referendum
INCLUSIVENESS DIMENSION
Inclusiveness
Inclusiveness of participation rights
(migrants)
TYPE OF REPRESENTATION DIMENSION
Type of representation Majority vs. proportional

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HLEG thematic workshop on Measuring Trust and Social Capital, Monica Ferrin

  • 1. Measuring alternative correlates of trust in institutions: political fairness vs. social equality Mónica Ferrín Pereira Workshop on Measuring Trust and Social Capital Sciences Po – HLEG on Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress
  • 2. Trust in institutions within the frame of ESS Round 6 Round 6 of the European Social Survey on ‘Citizens’ Understandings and Evaluations of Democracy Focus on Europeans’ support for democracy in the light of the ‘crisis’ of democracy Trust in institutions as a basic ingredient of support for democracy ESS Round 6 helps to: - better understand what trust in institutions ‘means’ - investigate what matters most for citizens’ trust (different individuals and different contexts)
  • 3. A few notes to start with ESS round 6 includes 22 OECD countries + 7 non-OECD Two alternative measures of ESS round 6: 1) Satisfaction with government: Now thinking about the [country] government, how satisfied are you with the way it is doing its job? (Please use this card, where 0 means extremely dissatisfied and 10 means extremely satisfied) 2) Trust in institutions: Using this card, please tell me on a score of 0-10 how much you personally trust each of the institutions I read out. 0 means you do not trust an institution at all, and 10 means you have complete trust. The [country’s] parliament The legal system
  • 4. Trust in and satisfaction with government -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 CH NO DE UK HU FR PL ES PT 2012 2008-2012 2002-2012 Satisfaction with government in 2012 & change since 2002/8Confidence in government in 2014 & change since 2007 Source: ESS 2002-2012 http://www.oecd.org/gov/trust-in- government.htm
  • 6. & Trust in Parliament
  • 7. Ideal & reality Increasing discontent with democracy, why? Mismatch between what people demand and what they get New measures: Importance How democracy should be? Evaluations How democracy is? Of many different attributes of democracy
  • 8. Importance Using this card, please tell me how important you think it is for democracy in general... that national elections are free and fair
  • 9. Evaluations Using this card, please tell me to what extent you think each of the following statements applies in [country]. National elections in [country] are free and fair
  • 12. Importance by country 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% equality of law fair elections transparency reliable media vertical account minority rights opposition free media free alternative parties NO DE IT FR
  • 13. Importance by country 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% protection poverty equal income participation decisions NO DE IT FR
  • 15. Evaluation by country 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 equality of law fair elections transparency reliable media vertical account minority rights opposition free media free alternative parties NO DE IT FR
  • 16. Evaluation by country 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 protection poverty equal income participation decisions NO DE IT FR
  • 18. Trust & evaluations: correlations 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 deliberation opposition free media free media reliable vertical account minority rights participation decisions alternative parties fair elections equal law protection poverty equal income transparency Satisfaction with government Trust in legal system Trust in parliament
  • 19. Trust & importance & evaluations .31.32.33.34.35.36 0/9 10/Extr Importance of transparency Marginal effect of Transparency on Satisfaction with government .28 .3 .32.34.36 0/9 10/Ext Importance of protection of poverty Marginal Effects of poverty on Satisfaction with government
  • 20. Trust & importance & evaluations .3 0/9 10/Extr Importance of equal law Marginal Effects of equal law on Trust in Parliament .24.25.26.27.28.29 0 1 Importance of protection of poverty Marginal Effects of poverty on Trust in Parliament
  • 21. .22.24.26.28 .3 West East South Marginal Effects of equal law on Satisfaction with government Trust & eval. political fairness & country
  • 22. .25 .3 .35 .4 .45 West East South Marginal Effects of poverty on Satisfaction with Government Trust & eval. social equality & country
  • 23. .25.26.27.28.29 West East South Marginal Effects of equal law on Trust in Parliament Trust & eval. political fairness & country
  • 24. .2 .25 .3 .35 West East South Marginal Effects of poverty on Trust in Parliament Trust & eval. social equality & country
  • 25. Summarizing - Trust as a mix of evaluations and importance - Trust as a mix of political fairness & social equality - Correlates of trust different across countries
  • 27. Democracy: a multidimensional concept ELECTORAL/DEMOCRATIC DIMENSION Competition Free and fair elections Differentiated offer by parties Parties free to criticize Vertical accountability Retrospective accountability Justification by government Deliberation Participation in political discussion Responsiveness Responsibility to other EU governments LIBERAL DIMENSION Rule of law Equality before the law Horizontal accountability Checks and balances (courts) Minority rights Protection of minority rights Freedom of press Press freedom Media reliability
  • 28. Democracy: a multidimensional concept SOCIAL DIMENSION Social Justice Protection against poverty Reduction income differences PARTICIPATORY DIMENSION Direct participation Participation in referendum INCLUSIVENESS DIMENSION Inclusiveness Inclusiveness of participation rights (migrants) TYPE OF REPRESENTATION DIMENSION Type of representation Majority vs. proportional