Can India be the New China?
- 1. VALEDICTORY BY MOHAN GURUSWAMY NATIONAL CONFERENCE CENTRAL ASIA, CHINA AND INDIA: HISTORICAL, ECONOMIC, POLITICAL AND CULTURAL RELATIONS. Will India be the new China? 04/30/16 1 Mohan Guruswamy
- 4. How the world stacks up in 2016. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 4
- 5. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 5 The brave new world to come!
- 6. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 6 The coming economic order.
- 7. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 7 Where is the World’s growth coming from?
- 8. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 8 India’s late surge!
- 9. Basic difference in Economic Structures. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 9
- 10. Basic differences manifested in Export Profiles. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 10
- 11. The importance of being China. 04/30/16 11 Mohan Guruswamy
- 12. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 12 China’s phenomenal rise as a world trader.
- 13. Exports are critical to China’s economy, accounting for more than a quarter of economic activity, compared with a little more than a tenth in the United States. To maintain overall growth rates, China has hoped to keep exports growing at about 10 percent per year, and for much of this year it has succeeded. But the US has declared its intention to close its CAD by 2020. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 13 Is the Chinese economy is losing steam?
- 14. Oil is now the single most important driver of world economics, politics and technology. The rise in importance was due to the invention of the internal combustion engine, huge expansion of private and public transportation and the rise in commercial aviation. And the importance of petroleum to industrial organic chemistry, particularly the synthesis of plastics, fertilizers, solvents, adhesives and pesticides. Oil is now the basis of about half the World GDP of over $85 trillion. 04/30/1614Mohan Guruswamy
- 15. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 15 Changing China!
- 16. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 16 China & India population pyramids.
- 23. rade = F(income, policy, cultural affinity, transport costs) 04/30/1623Mohan Guruswamy
- 24. About 15 000–10 000 years before present (ybp), when agriculture developed in the Fertile Crescent region that extended from Israel through Northern Syria to Western Iran, there was an eastward wave of human migration (Renfrew 1989; Cavalli-Sforza et al. 1994). It has been postulated that this wave brought the Dravidian language into India (Renfrew 1989). Subsequently, the Indo-European (Aryan) language was introduced into India from the Iranian plateau approximately 4000–3000 ybp, where this language was probably brought by pastoral nomads from Central Asia (Renfrew 1989). Therefore, linguistic evidence suggests that West Asia and Central Asia were two major geographical sources contributing to the Indian gene pool. The results revealed that a substantial part of today’s North Indian paternal gene pool was contributed by Central Asian lineages who are Indo-European speakers, suggesting that extant Indian caste groups are primarily the descendants of Indo-European migrants. Hum aapke hain kaun? 04/30/1624Mohan Guruswamy
- 25. Dispersal of Early Indo-European dialects. 04/30/1625Mohan Guruswamy
- 26. Ghar aaya mera pardesi! 04/30/1626Mohan Guruswamy
- 27. Mera Bharat Mahan. 04/30/1627Mohan Guruswamy
- 30. Isolated by Geography as much by Politics. 04/30/16 30 Mohan Guruswamy
- 31. China’s natural neighbors. 04/30/1631Mohan Guruswamy
- 32. Kis path sey jaoon main? Asmanjas hai wo bhola bhala! 04/30/1632Mohan Guruswamy
- 36. GDP’s of the five Stans. 04/30/1636Mohan Guruswamy
- 37. Wealth in the five Stans. 04/30/16 37 Mohan Guruswamy
- 38. India’s trade with Central Asia. 04/30/16 38 Mohan Guruswamy
- 40. 04/30/16Mohan Guruswamy 40 Kazakhstan’s Trading Partners.
- 42. India’s Line of Credits. 04/30/16 42 Mohan Guruswamy
- 43. Where we put our money! 04/30/1643Mohan Guruswamy
- 44. Waning interest in Central Asia? 04/30/16 44 Mohan Guruswamy
- 45. Distribution of Indian Aid in Central Asia. 04/30/1645Mohan Guruswamy
- 46. South Asia: An expensive place to do business! 04/30/1646Mohan Guruswamy
- 47. Transport costs have significant impacts on the structure of economic activities as well as on international trade. Empirical evidence underlines that raising transport costs by 10% reduces trade volumes by more than 20% and that the general quality of transport infrastructure can account for half of the variation in transport costs. In a competitive environment where transportation is a service that can be bided on, transport costs are influenced by the respective rates of transport companies, the portion of the transport costs charged to users. Transport costs have significant impacts on the structure of economic activities as well as on international trade. Empirical evidence underlines that raising transport costs by 10% reduces trade volumes by more than 20% and that the general quality of transport infrastructure can account for half of the variation in transport costs. In a competitive environment where transportation is a service that can be bided on, transport costs are influenced by the respective rates of transport companies, the portion of the transport costs charged to users. India’s inherent un-competitiveness. 04/30/16 47 Mohan Guruswamy
- 48. India enjoys close ethnic, historical, cultural, traditional and political relationships with the Central Asian nations. India is now geographically isolated from Central Asia. India has few relatively economic linkages with Central Asia. Central Asia presents a very small economic opportunity for India. 04/30/1648Mohan Guruswamy