Lei Fang week1COLLAPSETop of FormI agree that economic pow.docx

Lei Fang
week1
COLLAPSE
Top of Form
I agree that economic power is shifting from mature Western
economies to emerging markets. This is because over the past
20 years, the growth rate of GDP in emerging markets has far
exceeded that of Western countries, although the inflation rate
of developing countries is also much higher than that of
Western developed countries. This means that the size and
variety of commodities produced by those developing countries
are also increasing. At the same time, it also means that the
consumption power of people in developing countries is
gradually rising (increasing income). Therefore, the emerging
market is not only a production but also a huge consumer
market. This also brought the continuous inflow of foreign
funds.
Environmental disruption and waste of resources have led to
increased production costs for businesses. It is well known that
the resources on earth are limited. With the increasing number
of people and the enhancement of people's consumption power,
people's consumption of resources has been increasing. The
consumption of resources will inevitably increase the cost of the
product. Therefore, merchants and governments are spared no
effort to improve the production efficiency of commodities. At
the same time, they are also looking for sustainable resources.
At the same time, the government and companies have also
taken a series of measures to reduce the waste of resources. For
example, Apple recycles old computer phones.The aging
population has brought about competition for the labor force. At
present, the population growth rate of many countries is
negative, which means that the future labor force will decline.
At the same time, the aging of the population has also brought
tremendous survival pressure to young people. And these young

people will also share this part of the pressure to the
government and companies. In order to cope with the increase
and decrease of labor costs, the company can only reduce the
number of employees or increase the profit of goods. From
another perspective, this part of the pressure is also transferred
to the shoulders of young people.
Consumer loyalty to the product has been carefully maintained
by the brand. Due to the increasing number of brands and types
of consumer products, consumers have more and more choices,
so people have higher and higher requirements for commodities.
This also makes it difficult for consumers to maintain their
loyalty to goods compared to the past. Therefore, manufacturers
have also put forward big data analysis to track customer trends
and formulate customer-centric marketing strategies.
The rise of the Internet has blurred the borders between people's
work and life. At the same time, people's past lifestyles have
quietly changed. For example, during this pneumonia, people
were working on the Internet. And for safety, many people buy
ingredients online. This is hard to imagine in the past 20 years.
Technology integration I think is a common thing in any era.
It's just that the technological integration of each era has
different characteristics. Each technology fusion is based on
contemporary commodity needs and technical characteristics.
For example, the rise of the Internet in the past 10 years has
spawned many related career and technology integrations. For
example, big data analysis.
Reference
Royal, M. (2014, October 22). Hay group: The six megatrends
transforming businesses. Retrieved from
https://www.consultancy.uk/news/914/hay-group-the-six-
megatrends-transforming-businesses
Bottom of Form
Yilin Hou
week 1

COLLAPSE
Top of Form
Leaders operating in the modern business environment are
aware of the essence of ensuring that their teams are engaged,
motivated, and driven for success. This is a significant task
since leaders are required to facilitate these aspects while
ensuring that they are effective in responding to the disruptive
changes in how they work (Consultancy U.K., 2014). It is a
challenge that can be overcome by understanding the
differences in global leadership. In this case, the six megatrends
of global leadership entail globalization, climate change,
individualism, digitization, demographic changes, and
converging technologies. I agree that these trends have played a
significant role in transforming the global business setting.
I agree that globalization is influencing the global business
setting. This is based on the shift in economic power from the
developed and developing economies. As a result, the globe is
witnessing different market trends, competition, and increased
collaborations among countries. Globalization has enabled
developing nations to increase their share of the globe's GDP.
This is evident through Asia's domination of the global
economy. This depicts a reverse from the rise of the west and
their influence on global politics and the economy. In this case,
globalization has led to the emergence of a new global
economic order that is replacing West domination.
Globalization is bound to continue influencing financial
relationships by making them increasingly interconnected.
The globe is subjected to varying environmental crises in the
form of scarce raw materials and climate change that challenge
businesses. The crises have led to fluctuating values, increased
costs, and increased concern among stakeholders. The climate
change issues and lack of raw materials necessitate that
companies focus on sustainability strategies. Sustainability is
crucial in the modern business landscape as companies seek to
enhance their resource productivity while reducing costs. The
efforts are also fundamental in strengthening the corporate

image and aligning corporate action with consumer and investor
interests.
I agree that demographic changes are an influencing factor in
the business landscape. This is based on its impact on the global
workforce and increased competition for talent among
companies. Businesses operating in the modern age are required
to catch up to demographics. Companies across the globe are
increasing their investment in labor since it is becoming a
scarce commodity. Additionally, a younger workforce compels a
company to alter its operations.
Individualism is a significant factor that influences the business
environment. There is increased freedom of choice that subjects'
organizations to respond to the consumer needs in a diverse
workforce. Consumers are a significant aspect of business and
are capable of influencing their overall performance. As a
result, companies operating in the modern business landscape
have been subjected to employ customer-centric approaches.
They have also increased their investments in research and
development with the intent of learning more about their
consumers
Digitization has influenced the business landscape since work is
going remote. Consequently, the rise of teleworking has lured
the boundaries between personal and professional lives.
Increased digitization in the modern age has influenced
different business activities such as company business models
that have enabled new cooperation strategies among companies.
This has also led to new product and service offerings and
company affiliations among the employees and consumers.
I agree that converging technologies have influenced the
business landscape. This is due to the technological
achievement in bio, nano, cognitive, and information science
that have speed up the rate of change while establishing new
product markets. Additionally, bringing technologies together
had a significant impact on the ability of companies to
streamline their business process. The business setting has been
influenced as many business processes have been deemed

redundant.
Reference
Consultancy U.K. (2014). Hay Group: The six megatrends
transforming businesses. Retrieved
from https://www.consultancy.uk/news/914/hay-group-the-six-
megatrends-transforming-businesses
Bottom of Form
EIGHTH EDITION
Statistics for Business
and Economics
Paul Newbold
University of Nottingham
William L. Carlson
St. Olaf College
Betty M. Thorne
Stetson University
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Authorised adaptation from the United States edition, entitled
Statistics for Business and Economics,
8th Edition, ISBN: 978-0-13-274565-9 by Paul Newbold,
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I dedicate this book to Sgt. Lawrence Martin Carlson, who
gave his life in service to his country on November 19,
2006, and to his mother, Charlotte Carlson, to his sister and
brother, Andrea and Douglas, to his children, Savannah,
and Ezra, and to his nieces, Helana, Anna, Eva Rose, and
Emily.
William L. Carlson
I dedicate this book to my husband, Jim, and to our family,
Jennie, Ann, Renee, Jon, Chris, Jon, Hannah, Leah, Christina,
Jim, Wendy, Marius, Mihaela, Cezara, Anda, and Mara Iulia.
Betty M. Thorne
4
Dr. Bill Carlson is professor emeritus of economics at St. Olaf
College, where he taught

for 31 years, serving several times as department chair and in
various administrative func-
tions, including director of academic computing. He has also
held leave assignments with
the U.S. government and the University of Minnesota in
addition to lecturing at many dif-
ferent universities. He was elected an honorary member of Phi
Beta Kappa. In addition, he
spent 10 years in private industry and contract research prior to
beginning his career at St.
Olaf. His education includes engineering degrees from Michigan
Technological University
(BS) and from the Illinois Institute of Technology (MS) and a
PhD in quantitative man-
agement from the Rackham Graduate School at the University of
Michigan. Numerous
research projects related to management, highway safety, and
statistical education have
produced more than 50 publications. He received the
Metropolitan Insurance Award of
Merit for Safety Research. He has previously published two
statistics textbooks. An im-
portant goal of this book is to help students understand the
forest and not be lost in the
trees. Hiking the Lake Superior trail in Northern Minnesota
helps in developing this goal.
Professor Carlson led a number of study-abroad programs,
ranging from 1 to 5 months, for
study in various countries around the world. He was the
executive director of the Cannon
Valley Elder Collegium and a regular volunteer for a number of
community activities. He
is a member of both the Methodist and Lutheran disaster-relief
teams and a regular partic-
ipant in the local Habitat for Humanity building team. He
enjoys his grandchildren, wood-

working, travel, reading, and being on assignment on the North
Shore of Lake Superior.
Dr. Betty M. Thorne, author, researcher, and award-winning
teacher, is professor of sta-
tistics and director of undergraduate studies in the School of
Business Administration at
Stetson University in DeLand, Florida. Winner of Stetson
University’s McEniry Award for
Excellence in Teaching, the highest honor given to a Stetson
University faculty member,
Dr. Thorne is also the recipient of the Outstanding Teacher of
the Year Award and Pro-
fessor of the Year Award in the School of Business
Administration at Stetson. Dr. Thorne
teaches in Stetson University’s undergradaute business program
in DeLand, Florida, and
also in Stetson’s summer program in Innsbruck, Austria; Stetson
University’s College of
Law; Stetson University’s Executive MBA program; and Stetson
University’s Executive
Passport program. Dr. Thorne has received various teaching
awards in the JD/MBA pro-
gram at Stetson’s College of Law in Gulfport, Florida. She
received her BS degree from
Geneva College and MA and PhD degrees from Indiana
University. She has co-au-
thored statistics textbooks which have been translated into
several languages and ad-
opted by universities, nationally and internationally. She serves
on key school and
university committees. Dr. Thorne, whose research has been
published in various ref-
ereed journals, is a member of the American Statistical
Association, the Decision Sci-
ence Institute, Beta Alpha Psi, Beta Gamma Sigma, and the

Academy of International
Business. She and her husband, Jim, have four children. They
travel extensively, attend
theological conferences and seminars, participate in
international organizations dedicated
to helping disadvantaged children, and do missionary work in
Romania.
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
5
Preface 13
Data File Index 19
CHAPTER 1 Using Graphs to Describe Data 21
CHAPTER 2 Using Numerical Measures to Describe Data 59
CHAPTER 3 Elements of Chance: Probability Methods 93
CHAPTER 4 Discrete Probability Distributions 146
CHAPTER 5 Continuous Probability Distributions 197
CHAPTER 6 Distributions of Sample Statistics 244
CHAPTER 7 Confidence Interval Estimation: One Population
284
CHAPTER 8 Confidence Interval Estimation: Further Topics
328

CHAPTER 9 Hypothesis Tests of a Single Population 346
CHAPTER 10 Two Population Hypothesis Tests 385
CHAPTER 11 Two Variable Regression Analysis 417
CHAPTER 12 Multiple Variable Regression Analysis 473
CHAPTER 13 Additional Topics in Regression Analysis 551
CHAPTER 14 Introduction to Nonparametric Statistics 602
CHAPTER 15 Analysis of Variance 645
CHAPTER 16 Forecasting with Time-Series Models 684
CHAPTER 17 Sampling: Stratified, Cluster, and Other
Sampling Methods 716
Appendix Tables 738
Index 783
BRIEF CONTENTS
This page intentionally left blank
7
Preface 13
Data File Index 19
CHAPTER 1 Using Graphs to Describe Data 21

1.1 Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment 22
Random and Systematic Sampling 22
Sampling and Nonsampling Errors 24
1.2 Classification of Variables 25
Categorical and Numerical Variables 25
Measurement Levels 26
1.3 Graphs to Describe Categorical Variables 28
Tables and Charts 28
Cross Tables 29
Pie Charts 31
Pareto Diagrams 32
1.4 Graphs to Describe Time-Series Data 35
1.5 Graphs to Describe Numerical Variables 40
Frequency Distributions 40
Histograms and Ogives 44
Shape of a Distribution 44
Stem-and-Leaf Displays 46
Scatter Plots 47
1.6 Data Presentation Errors 51
Misleading Histograms 51
Misleading Time-Series Plots 53
CHAPTER 2 Using Numerical Measures to Describe Data 59
2.1 Measures of Central Tendency and Location 59
Mean, Median, and Mode 60
Shape of a Distribution 62
Geometric Mean 63
Percentiles and Quartiles 64
2.2 Measures of Variability 68
Range and Interquartile Range 69
Box-and-Whisker Plots 69

Variance and Standard Deviation 71
Coefficient of Variation 75
Chebyshev’s Theorem and the Empirical Rule 75
z-Score 77
2.3 Weighted Mean and Measures of Grouped Data 80
2.4 Measures of Relationships Between Variables 84
Case Study: Mortgage Portfolio 91
CONTENTS
8 Contents
CHAPTER 3 Elements of Chance: Probability Methods 93
3.1 Random Experiment, Outcomes, and Events 94
3.2 Probability and Its Postulates 101
Classical Probability 101
Permutations and Combinations 102
Relative Frequency 106
Subjective Probability 107
3.3 Probability Rules 111
Conditional Probability 113
Statistical Independence 116
3.4 Bivariate Probabilities 122
Odds 126
Overinvolvement Ratios 126
3.5 Bayes’ Theorem 132
Subjective Probabilities in Management Decision Making
138
CHAPTER 4 Discrete Probability Distributions 146

4.1 Random Variables 147
4.2 Probability Distributions for Discrete Random Variables
148
4.3 Properties of Discrete Random Variables 152
Expected Value of a Discrete Random Variable 152
Variance of a Discrete Random Variable 153
Mean and Variance of Linear Functions of a Random Variable
155
4.4 Binomial Distribution 159
Developing the Binomial Distribution 160
4.5 Poisson Distribution 167
Poisson Approximation to the Binomial Distribution 171
Comparison of the Poisson and Binomial Distributions 172
4.6 Hypergeometric Distribution 173
4.7 Jointly Distributed Discrete Random Variables 176
Conditional Mean and Variance 180
Computer Applications 180
Linear Functions of Random Variables 180
Covariance 181
Correlation 182
Portfolio Analysis 186
CHAPTER 5 Continuous Probability Distributions 197
5.1 Continuous Random Variables 198
The Uniform Distribution 201
5.2 Expectations for Continuous Random Variables 203
5.3 The Normal Distribution 206
Normal Probability Plots 215
5.4 Normal Distribution Approximation for Binomial
Distribution 219
Proportion Random Variable 223

5.5 The Exponential Distribution 225
5.6 Jointly Distributed Continuous Random Variables 228
Linear Combinations of Random Variables 232
Financial Investment Portfolios 232
Cautions Concerning Finance Models 236
Contents 9
CHAPTER 6 Distributions of Sample Statistics 244
6.1 Sampling from a Population 245
Development of a Sampling Distribution 246
6.2 Sampling Distributions of Sample Means 249
Central Limit Theorem 254
Monte Carlo Simulations: Central Limit Theorem 254
Acceptance Intervals 260
6.3 Sampling Distributions of Sample Proportions 265
6.4 Sampling Distributions of Sample Variances 270
CHAPTER 7 Confidence Interval Estimation: One Population
284
7.1 Properties of Point Estimators 285
Unbiased 286
Most Efficient 287
7.2 Confidence Interval Estimation for the Mean of a Normal
Distribution:
Population Variance Known 291
Intervals Based on the Normal Distribution 292
Reducing Margin of Error 295

7.3 Confidence Interval Estimation for the Mean of a Normal
Distribution:
Population Variance Unknown 297
Student’s t Distribution 297
Intervals Based on the Student’s t Distribution 299
7.4 Confidence Interval Estimation for Population Proportion
(Large Samples) 303
7.5 Confidence Interval Estimation for the Variance of a
Normal
Distribution 306
7.6 Confidence Interval Estimation: Finite Populations 309
Population Mean and Population Total 309
Population Proportion 312
7.7 Sample-Size Determination: Large Populations 315
Mean of a Normally Distributed Population, Known Population
Variance 315
Population Proportion 317
7.8 Sample-Size Determination: Finite Populations 319
Sample Sizes for Simple Random Sampling: Estimation of the
Population
Mean or Total 320
Sample Sizes for Simple Random Sampling: Estimation of
Population
Proportion 321
CHAPTER 8 Confidence Interval Estimation: Further Topics
328

8.1 Confidence Interval Estimation of the Difference Between
Two Normal Population
Means: Dependent Samples 329
Two Normal Population
Means: Independent Samples 333
Two Means, Independent Samples, and Known Population
Variances 333
Two Means, Independent Samples, and Unknown Population
Variances Assumed to
Be Equal 335
Two Means, Independent Samples, and Unknown Population
Variances Not Assumed to
Be Equal 337
Two Population
Proportions (Large Samples) 340
10 Contents
CHAPTER 9 Hypothesis Tests of a Single Population 346
9.1 Concepts of Hypothesis Testing 347
9.2 Tests of the Mean of a Normal Distribution: Population
Variance Known 352
p-Value 354
Two-Sided Alternative Hypothesis 360
9.3 Tests of the Mean of a Normal Distribution: Population
Variance Unknown 362

9.4 Tests of the Population Proportion (Large Samples) 366
9.5 Assessing the Power of a Test 368
Tests of the Mean of a Normal Distribution: Population
Variance Known 369
Power of Population Proportion Tests (Large Samples) 371
9.6 Tests of the Variance of a Normal Distribution 375
CHAPTER 10 Two Population Hypothesis Tests 385
10.1 Tests of the Difference Between Two Normal Population
Means:
Dependent Samples 387
Two Means, Matched Pairs 387
10.2 Tests of the Difference Between Two Normal Population
Means:
Independent Samples 391
Two Means, Independent Samples, Known Population
Variances 391
Two Means, Independent Samples, Unknown Population
Variances Assumed to Be Equal 393
Two Means, Independent Samples, Unknown Population
Variances Not Assumed to Be Equal 396
10.3 Tests of the Difference Between Two Population
Proportions (Large Samples) 399
10.4 Tests of the Equality of the Variances Between Two
Normally Distributed
Populations 403
10.5 Some Comments on Hypothesis Testing 406
CHAPTER 11 Two Variable Regression Analysis 417
11.1 Overview of Linear Models 418

11.2 Linear Regression Model 421
11.3 Least Squares Coefficient Estimators 427
Computer Computation of Regression Coefficients 429
11.4 The Explanatory Power of a Linear Regression Equation
431
Coefficient of Determination, R2 433
11.5 Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Tests and Confidence
Intervals 438
Hypothesis Test for Population Slope Coefficient Using the F
Distribution 443
11.6 Prediction 446
11.7 Correlation Analysis 452
Hypothesis Test for Correlation 452
11.8 Beta Measure of Financial Risk 456
11.9 Graphical Analysis 458
CHAPTER 12 Multiple Variable Regression Analysis 473
12.1 The Multiple Regression Model 474
Model Specification 474
Model Objectives 476
Model Development 477
Three-Dimensional Graphing 480
Contents 11
12.2 Estimation of Coefficients 481
Least Squares Procedure 482
12.3 Explanatory Power of a Multiple Regression Equation
488
12.4 Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests for Individual

Regression Coefficients 493
Confidence Intervals 495
Tests of Hypotheses 497
12.5 Tests on Regression Coefficients 505
Tests on All Coefficients 505
Test on a Subset of Regression Coefficients 506
Comparison of F and t Tests 508
12.6 Prediction 511
12.7 Transformations for Nonlinear Regression Models 514
Quadratic Transformations 515
Logarithmic Transformations 517
12.8 Dummy Variables for Regression Models 522
Differences in Slope 525
12.9 Multiple Regression Analysis Application Procedure
529
Multiple Regression 531
Effect of Dropping a Statistically Significant Variable 532
Analysis of Residuals 534
CHAPTER 13 Additional Topics in Regression Analysis 551
13.1 Model-Building Methodology 552
Coefficient Estimation 553
Model Verification 554
Model Interpretation and Inference 554
13.2 Dummy Variables and Experimental Design 554
Experimental Design Models 558
Public Sector Applications 563
13.3 Lagged Values of the Dependent Variable as Regressors

567
13.4 Specification Bias 571
13.5 Multicollinearity 574
13.6 Heteroscedasticity 577
13.7 Autocorrelated Errors 582
Estimation of Regressions with Autocorrelated Errors 586
Autocorrelated Errors in Models with Lagged Dependent
Variables 590
CHAPTER 14 Introduction to Nonparametric Statistics 602
14.1 Goodness-of-Fit Tests: Specified Probabilities 603
14.2 Goodness-of-Fit Tests: Population Parameters Unknown
609
A Test for the Poisson Distribution 609
A Test for the Normal Distribution 611
14.3 Contingency Tables 614
14.4 Nonparametric Tests for Paired or Matched Samples 619
Sign Test for Paired or Matched Samples 619
Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test for Paired or Matched Samples
622
Normal Approximation to the Sign Test 623
12 Contents
Normal Approximation to the Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test
624
Sign Test for a Single Population Median 626
14.5 Nonparametric Tests for Independent Random Samples
628
Mann-Whitney U Test 628
Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test 631

14.6 Spearman Rank Correlation 634
14.7 A Nonparametric Test for Randomness 636
Runs Test: Small Sample Size 636
Runs Test: Large Sample Size 638
CHAPTER 15 Analysis of Variance 645
15.1 Comparison of Several Population Means 645
15.2 One-Way Analysis of Variance 647
Multiple Comparisons Between Subgroup Means 654
Population Model for One-Way Analysis of Variance 655
15.3 The Kruskal-Wallis Test 658
15.4 Two-Way Analysis of Variance: One Observation per
Cell, Randomized Blocks 661
15.5 Two-Way Analysis of Variance: More Than One
Observation per Cell 670
CHAPTER 16 Forecasting with Time-Series Models 684
16.1 Components of a Time Series 685
16.2 Moving Averages 689
Extraction of the Seasonal Component Through Moving
Averages 692
16.3 Exponential Smoothing 697
The Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing Forecasting Model
700
Forecasting Seasonal Time Series 704
16.4 Autoregressive Models 708
16.5 Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models 713
CHAPTER17 Sampling: Stratified, Cluster, and Other Sampling
Methods 716
17.1 Stratified Sampling 716
Analysis of Results from Stratified Random Sampling 718
Allocation of Sample Effort Among Strata 723

Determining Sample Sizes for Stratified Random Sampling
with Specified
Degree of Precision 725
17.2 Other Sampling Methods 729
Cluster Sampling 729
Two-Phase Sampling 732
Nonprobabilistic Sampling Methods 734
APPENDIX TABLES 738
INDEX 783
13
INTENDED AUDIENCE
Statistics for Business and Economics, 8th edition, was written
to meet the need for an in-
troductory text that provides a strong introduction to business
statistics, develops un-
derstanding of concepts, and emphasizes problem solving using
realistic examples that
emphasize real data sets and computer based analysis. These
examples emphasize busi-
ness and economics examples for the following:
• MBA or undergraduate business programs that teach business
statistics
• Graduate and undergraduate economics programs
• Executive MBA programs
• Graduate courses for business statistics

SUBSTANCE
This book was written to provide a strong introductory
understanding of applied statisti-
cal procedures so that individuals can do solid statistical
analysis in many business and
economic situations. We have emphasized an understanding of
the assumptions that are
necessary for professional analysis. In particular we have
greatly expanded the number of
applications that utilize data from applied policy and research
settings. Data and problem
scenarios have been obtained from business analysts, major
research organizations, and
selected extractions from publicly available data sources. With
modern computers it is
easy to compute, from data, the output needed for many
statistical procedures. Thus, it is
tempting to merely apply simple “rules” using these outputs—an
approach used in many
textbooks. Our approach is to combine understanding with many
examples and student
exercises that show how understanding of methods and their
assumptions lead to useful
understanding of business and economic problems.
NEW TO THIS EDITION
The eighth edition of this book has been revised and updated to
provide students with im-
proved problem contexts for learning how statistical methods
can improve their analysis
and understanding of business and economics.
The objective of this revision is to provide a strong core
textbook with new features

and modifications that will provide an improved learning
environment for students en-
tering a rapidly changing technical work environment. This
edition has been carefully
revised to improve the clarity and completeness of explanations.
This revision recognizes
the globalization of statistical study and in particular the global
market for this book.
1. Improvement in clarity and relevance of discussions of the
core topics included in the
book.
2. Addition of a number of large databases developed by public
research agencies, busi-
nesses, and databases from the authors’ own works.
PREFACE
14 Preface
3. Inclusion of a number of new exercises that introduce
students to specific statistical
questions that are part of research projects.
4. Addition of a number of case studies, with both large and
small sample sizes. Stu-
dents are provided the opportunity to extend their statistical
understanding to the
context of research and analysis conducted by professionals.
These studies include
data files obtained from on-going research studies, which
reduce for the student, the
extensive work load of data collection and refinement, thus

providing an emphasis
on question formulation, analysis, and reporting of results.
5. Careful revision of text and symbolic language to ensure
consistent terms and defini-
tions and to remove errors that accumulated from previous
revisions and production
problems.
6. Major revision of the discussion of Time Series both in
terms of describing historical
patterns and in the focus on identifying the underlying structure
and introductory
forecasting methods.
7. Integration of the text material, data sets, and exercises into
new on-line applications
including MyMathLab Global.
8. Expansion of descriptive statistics to include percentiles, z-
scores, and alternative for-
mulae to compute the sample variance and sample standard
deviation.
9. Addition of a significant number of new examples based on
real world data.
10. Greater emphasis on the assumptions being made when
conducting various statisti-
cal procedures.
11. Reorganization of sampling concepts.
12. More detailed business-oriented examples and exercises
incorporated in the analysis
of statistics.
13. Improved chapter introductions that include business

examples discussed in the
chapter.
14. Good range of difficulty in the section ending exercises that
permit the professor to
tailor the difficulty level to his or her course.
15. Improved suitability for both introductory and advanced
statistics courses and by
both undergraduate and graduate students.
16. Decision Theory, which is covered in other business classes
such as operations man-
agement or strategic management, has been moved to an online
location for access by
those who are interested
(www.pearsonglobaleditions.com/newbold).
This edition devotes considerable effort to providing an
understanding of statistical
methods and their applications. We have avoided merely
providing rules and canned
computer routines for analyzing and solving statistical
problems. This edition contains
a complete discussion of methods and assumptions, including
computational details ex-
pressed in clear and complete formulas. Through examples and
extended chapter appli-
cations, we provide guidelines for interpreting results and
explain how to determine if
additional analysis is required. The development of the many
procedures included under
statistical inference and regression analysis are built on a strong
development of probabil-
ity and random variables, which are a foundation for the

applications presented in this
book. The foundation also includes a clear and complete
discussion of descriptive statis-
tics and graphical approaches. These provide important tools for
exploring and describ-
ing data that represent a process being studied.
Probability and random variables are presented with a number
of important applica-
tions, which are invaluable in management decision making.
These include conditional
probability and Bayesian applications that clarify decisions and
show counterintuitive
results in a number of decision situations. Linear combinations
of random variables are
developed in detail, with a number of applications of
importance, including portfolio
applications in finance.
The authors strongly believe that students learn best when they
work with chal-
lenging and relevant applications that apply the concepts
presented by dedicated
teachers and the textbook. Thus the textbook has always
included a number of data
Preface 15
sets obtained from various applications in the public and private
sectors. In the eighth
edition we have added a number of large data sets obtained from
major research proj-
ects and other sources. These data sets are used in chapter
examples, exercises, and

case studies located at the end of analysis chapters. A number
of exercises consider
individual analyses that are typically part of larger research
projects. With this struc-
ture, students can deal with important detailed questions and
can also work with case
studies that require them to identify the detailed questions that
are logically part of a
larger research project. These large data sets can also be used
by the teacher to develop
additional research and case study projects that are custom
designed for local course
environments. The opportunity to custom design new research
questions for students
is a unique part of this textbook.
One of the large data sets is the HEI Cost Data Variable Subset.
This …

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