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LeWeb Keynote December 9, 2010 Jeremiah Owyang Industry Analyst Social Business Forecast:  2011 The Year of Integration Research reveals focus on integration, staffing, advertising, and measurement.
What happened in 2010 What’s going to happen in 2011 What companies should do about it Agenda:
2010 Overview © 2010 Altimeter Group Image by Slowtron used with Attribution as directed by Creative Commons http://www.flickr.com/photos/fuckr/91530309
Just 2 years in corporate social business, 2010 was the year of formation.
Most Social Media programs report under Marketing or Corporate Communications
Companies organize for social in 5 ways
DECENTRALIZED Organic growth Authentic Experimental Not coordinated e.g. Sun
One department controls all efforts Consistent May not be as authentic e.g. Ford, Regulated CENTRALIZED
HUB AND SPOKE One hub sets rules and procedures Business units undertake own efforts Spreads widely around the org Takes time e.g. Red Cross
MULTIPLE HUB AND SPOKE  OR “DANEDELION” Similar to Coordinated but across multiple brands and units  e.g. HP, Microsoft, Tech Giants
HOLISTIC OR “HONEYCOMB” Each employee is empowered Unlike Organic, employees are organized e.g. Twelpforce, Zappos
Most companies organize into Hub & Spoke or Centralized
Maturity drives Total Budget, Team Size, and Org Model Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists their total strategy budget, number of full-time equivalent staff dedicated to social media, and organizational model: Beginner/Experimental Formalized Mature/Advanced Average Total Budget Average Team Size Organizational Model
Maturity drives Total Budget, Team Size, and Org Model Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Corporations who are just getting started have miniscule budget and are significantly understaffed in a centralized team –this does not scale. Beginner/Experimental Formalized Mature/Advanced Average Total Budget $66,000  Average Team Size 3.1 Organizational Model Centralized 37%
Maturity drives Total Budget, Team Size, and Org Model Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Corporations who have formalized their programs have a cross-functional team that lead and serve many business units with a larger budget line–they may not deploy on their behalf. Beginner/Experimental Formalized Mature/Advanced Average Total Budget $66,000  $1,002,000  Average Team Size 3.1 8.2 Organizational Model Centralized 37% Hub & Spoke 49%
Maturity drives Total Budget, Team Size, and Org Model Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Mature and Advanced corporations have only slightly large budgets but involve many more across the company and are formed in Hub and Spoke, and often “Dandelion”  Beginner/Experimental Formalized Mature/Advanced Average Total Budget $66,000  $1,002,000  $1,364,000  Average Team Size 3.1 8.2 20.8 Organizational Model Centralized 37% Hub & Spoke 49% Hub and Spoke 44%
2011 Forecast © 2010 Altimeter Group Image by ronni44052 used with Attribution as directed by Creative http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronnie44052/2730239605
2011 is the Year of  Integration
For Internal Goals In 2011, Social Strategists will focus on Measurement of ROI Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists: “What  internal  social strategy objectives will you focus most on 2011?”
Social Strategists struggle with relying on engagement data  Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists: What measurements are most important to evaluating the success of your program?
In External ‘Go to market’ a focus will be on integrating social onto the corporate website Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists: “What  external  social strategy objectives will you focus most on 2011?”
2010-2011: Adoption of Social Business programs Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists their budget for 12 social business programs in 2010, and projected increases/decreases in 2011 to calculate adoption forecast:
2010-2011: Spending on Social Business programs Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 $278,000 $160,000  $129,000  $120,000  $108,000  $98,000  $90,000  $47,000  $47,000  $37,000  $23,000  $22,000  We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists their budget for 12 social business programs in 2010, and projected increases/decreases in 2011 to calculate adoption forecast:
2011 top spending by Company Maturity Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists their budget for 12 social business programs in 2010, and projected increases/decreases in 2011 to calculate top spending by Company Maturity in 2011: Beginner/Experimental Mature Advanced First  Second Third Fourth Fifth
2011 top spending by Maturity Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 A small compartment of staff will be hired, scalable branded communities, and reliance on agencies which could help with monitoring. Beginner/Experimental Mature Advanced First  Staff: $133,000 Staff:  $303,000 Staff: $406,000 Second Community: $78,000 Ad Spend: $204,000 Custom Tech Dev: $272,000 Third Traditional Agencies: $51,000 Traditional Agencies: $162,000 Boutique Agencies: $238,000 Fourth Brand Monitoring: $42,000 Community: $126,000 Community: $198,000 Fifth Ad Spend: $36,000 Brand Monitoring: $108,000 Ad Spend: $195,000
2011 top spending by Maturity Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Teams will continue to grow, but likely stymied by true ‘engagement’ brands may throw ad dollars and campaigns in order to scale –expect few to have maturity to truly engage.  Beginner/Experimental Mature Advanced First  Staff: $133,000 Staff:  $303,000 Staff: $406,000 Second Community: $78,000 Ad Spend: $204,000 Custom Tech Dev: $272,000 Third Traditional Agencies: $51,000 Traditional Agencies: $162,000 Boutique Agencies: $238,000 Fourth Brand Monitoring: $42,000 Community: $126,000 Community: $198,000 Fifth Ad Spend: $36,000 Brand Monitoring: $108,000 Ad Spend: $195,000
2011 top spending by Maturity Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Expect the advanced to customize social media software and data, and then focus on engagement with social media agencies of record (SMAOR) –with less focus on advertising than the mature Beginner/Experimental Mature Advanced First  Staff: $133,000 Staff:  $303,000 Staff: $406,000 Second Community: $78,000 Ad Spend: $204,000 Custom Tech Dev: $272,000 Third Traditional Agencies: $51,000 Traditional Agencies: $162,000 Boutique Agencies: $238,000 Fourth Brand Monitoring: $42,000 Community: $126,000 Community: $198,000 Fifth Ad Spend: $36,000 Brand Monitoring: $108,000 Ad Spend: $195,000
How You Should Invest in 2011 Image by zetson used with Attribution as directed by Creative Commons http://www.flickr.com/photos/zetson/254608875 © 2010 Altimeter Group
Invest in scalable social media programs
Hire correctly  (Gurus/Ninjas/Samurai need not apply)  and properly train for scale Integrate social media on the corporate website, then aggregate and curate  Invest in advertising that leverages social graph Build an unpaid army of advocates –get your customers to do the work for you Invest in scalable systems like SCRM and SMMS Learn to measure using the ROI Pyramid Invest in scalable social media programs
Gurus, Ninjas, and Samurai need not apply Hire a program manager rather than a social media “hot shot.” Seek candidates with a track record of early technology adoption in their careers. Look for a corporate entrepreneur, comfortable with “calculated risks.” An internal resource to serve the entire enterprise. 1) Hire correctly and properly train for scale
2) Pragmatically integrate social media on the corporate website, then aggregate and curate  Source: http://www.web-strategist.com/blog/2010/05/19/slides-roadmap-for-integration-of-social-into-your-corporate-website/ 1. No social integration 2. Link away with no strategy 3. Link away but encourage sharing 4. Brand integrated in social channels 5. Aggregate discussion on site 6. Users stay on site with social log-in 7. Social log-in triggers sharing 8. Seamless  integration
Advertising is the second highest social business program spend in 2010-2011 ($104,000 and $160,000) 48% of corporations plan to increase their spend in 2011 Focus on clear metrics Make ads engaging and tie to social graph –not just banners 3) Invest in advertising that leverages social graph Twitter’s advertising is a combination of both earned and paid –that results in WOM
Invest in Advocacy programs – they scale Research indicates a 5 step process Example: Microsoft has @4000 MVPs who are nominated by peers, employees and other MVPs; MVPs write books, articles, participate in user groups, host events, and answer community questions 4) Build an unpaid army of advocates –get your customers to do the work for you
SCRM connects the social web to your customer data bases, in 2010 to 1011 –budgets are small $19K to $37K (SCRM) but growing Most corporations don’t know they are implementing SCRM, as brand monitoring integrated with CRM applies Invest in Social Media Management Systems (SMMS) to help your brands scale. Forecast: $14K to $22K (SMMS) in 2011 spending Vendor short list: CoTweet, HootSuite, Sprinklr, Objective Marketer, Expion, SpredFast, or Seesmic 5) Invest in scalable systems like SCRM and SMMS
Learn to measure correctly Serve the right metrics to the right roles See: The Social Media ROI Pyramid 6) Learn to measure using the ROI Pyramid
ROI Pyramid: Roles View Provide the right metrics to the right audience. A novice mistake is to provide ‘engagement metrics’ to executives
The ROI Pyramid: Metrics View These metrics are formulas comprised of the tier below them.  Currently, there is no industry standard.
The ROI Pyramid: Metrics Examples (there are more) A junior mistake is providing ‘engagement data’ to executives –instead focus on business metrics.
The ROI Pyramid Role:  Metrics:  Specific Data (examples)
2010 was the read of Foundational Investments. In 2011, expect to see a focus on Measurement, Integration, Staffing and Advertising. Invest in Scalable Programs that leverage your crowds –1:1 dialog does  not  scale.  Summary
This research is published under the spirit of Open Research, use it, reference it, and build on it. The more you share the more we can conduct, spread it widely. Our papers are published under non-commercial Creative Commons – you are free to use our research, with attribution to Altimeter Group. Open Research
Jeremiah Owyang Industry Analyst [email_address] web-strategist.com/blog Twitter: @jowyang Research team includes significant contributions from Christine Tran, and Charlene Li, Altimeter Group

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Les tendances du social media en 2011

  • 1. LeWeb Keynote December 9, 2010 Jeremiah Owyang Industry Analyst Social Business Forecast: 2011 The Year of Integration Research reveals focus on integration, staffing, advertising, and measurement.
  • 2. What happened in 2010 What’s going to happen in 2011 What companies should do about it Agenda:
  • 3. 2010 Overview © 2010 Altimeter Group Image by Slowtron used with Attribution as directed by Creative Commons http://www.flickr.com/photos/fuckr/91530309
  • 4. Just 2 years in corporate social business, 2010 was the year of formation.
  • 5. Most Social Media programs report under Marketing or Corporate Communications
  • 6. Companies organize for social in 5 ways
  • 7. DECENTRALIZED Organic growth Authentic Experimental Not coordinated e.g. Sun
  • 8. One department controls all efforts Consistent May not be as authentic e.g. Ford, Regulated CENTRALIZED
  • 9. HUB AND SPOKE One hub sets rules and procedures Business units undertake own efforts Spreads widely around the org Takes time e.g. Red Cross
  • 10. MULTIPLE HUB AND SPOKE OR “DANEDELION” Similar to Coordinated but across multiple brands and units e.g. HP, Microsoft, Tech Giants
  • 11. HOLISTIC OR “HONEYCOMB” Each employee is empowered Unlike Organic, employees are organized e.g. Twelpforce, Zappos
  • 12. Most companies organize into Hub & Spoke or Centralized
  • 13. Maturity drives Total Budget, Team Size, and Org Model Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists their total strategy budget, number of full-time equivalent staff dedicated to social media, and organizational model: Beginner/Experimental Formalized Mature/Advanced Average Total Budget Average Team Size Organizational Model
  • 14. Maturity drives Total Budget, Team Size, and Org Model Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Corporations who are just getting started have miniscule budget and are significantly understaffed in a centralized team –this does not scale. Beginner/Experimental Formalized Mature/Advanced Average Total Budget $66,000 Average Team Size 3.1 Organizational Model Centralized 37%
  • 15. Maturity drives Total Budget, Team Size, and Org Model Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Corporations who have formalized their programs have a cross-functional team that lead and serve many business units with a larger budget line–they may not deploy on their behalf. Beginner/Experimental Formalized Mature/Advanced Average Total Budget $66,000 $1,002,000 Average Team Size 3.1 8.2 Organizational Model Centralized 37% Hub & Spoke 49%
  • 16. Maturity drives Total Budget, Team Size, and Org Model Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Mature and Advanced corporations have only slightly large budgets but involve many more across the company and are formed in Hub and Spoke, and often “Dandelion” Beginner/Experimental Formalized Mature/Advanced Average Total Budget $66,000 $1,002,000 $1,364,000 Average Team Size 3.1 8.2 20.8 Organizational Model Centralized 37% Hub & Spoke 49% Hub and Spoke 44%
  • 17. 2011 Forecast © 2010 Altimeter Group Image by ronni44052 used with Attribution as directed by Creative http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronnie44052/2730239605
  • 18. 2011 is the Year of Integration
  • 19. For Internal Goals In 2011, Social Strategists will focus on Measurement of ROI Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists: “What internal social strategy objectives will you focus most on 2011?”
  • 20. Social Strategists struggle with relying on engagement data Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists: What measurements are most important to evaluating the success of your program?
  • 21. In External ‘Go to market’ a focus will be on integrating social onto the corporate website Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists: “What external social strategy objectives will you focus most on 2011?”
  • 22. 2010-2011: Adoption of Social Business programs Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists their budget for 12 social business programs in 2010, and projected increases/decreases in 2011 to calculate adoption forecast:
  • 23. 2010-2011: Spending on Social Business programs Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 $278,000 $160,000 $129,000 $120,000 $108,000 $98,000 $90,000 $47,000 $47,000 $37,000 $23,000 $22,000 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists their budget for 12 social business programs in 2010, and projected increases/decreases in 2011 to calculate adoption forecast:
  • 24. 2011 top spending by Company Maturity Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 We asked 140 Corporate Social Strategists their budget for 12 social business programs in 2010, and projected increases/decreases in 2011 to calculate top spending by Company Maturity in 2011: Beginner/Experimental Mature Advanced First Second Third Fourth Fifth
  • 25. 2011 top spending by Maturity Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 A small compartment of staff will be hired, scalable branded communities, and reliance on agencies which could help with monitoring. Beginner/Experimental Mature Advanced First Staff: $133,000 Staff: $303,000 Staff: $406,000 Second Community: $78,000 Ad Spend: $204,000 Custom Tech Dev: $272,000 Third Traditional Agencies: $51,000 Traditional Agencies: $162,000 Boutique Agencies: $238,000 Fourth Brand Monitoring: $42,000 Community: $126,000 Community: $198,000 Fifth Ad Spend: $36,000 Brand Monitoring: $108,000 Ad Spend: $195,000
  • 26. 2011 top spending by Maturity Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Teams will continue to grow, but likely stymied by true ‘engagement’ brands may throw ad dollars and campaigns in order to scale –expect few to have maturity to truly engage. Beginner/Experimental Mature Advanced First Staff: $133,000 Staff: $303,000 Staff: $406,000 Second Community: $78,000 Ad Spend: $204,000 Custom Tech Dev: $272,000 Third Traditional Agencies: $51,000 Traditional Agencies: $162,000 Boutique Agencies: $238,000 Fourth Brand Monitoring: $42,000 Community: $126,000 Community: $198,000 Fifth Ad Spend: $36,000 Brand Monitoring: $108,000 Ad Spend: $195,000
  • 27. 2011 top spending by Maturity Source: Survey of Corporate Social Strategists, Altimeter Group, November 2010 Expect the advanced to customize social media software and data, and then focus on engagement with social media agencies of record (SMAOR) –with less focus on advertising than the mature Beginner/Experimental Mature Advanced First Staff: $133,000 Staff: $303,000 Staff: $406,000 Second Community: $78,000 Ad Spend: $204,000 Custom Tech Dev: $272,000 Third Traditional Agencies: $51,000 Traditional Agencies: $162,000 Boutique Agencies: $238,000 Fourth Brand Monitoring: $42,000 Community: $126,000 Community: $198,000 Fifth Ad Spend: $36,000 Brand Monitoring: $108,000 Ad Spend: $195,000
  • 28. How You Should Invest in 2011 Image by zetson used with Attribution as directed by Creative Commons http://www.flickr.com/photos/zetson/254608875 © 2010 Altimeter Group
  • 29. Invest in scalable social media programs
  • 30. Hire correctly (Gurus/Ninjas/Samurai need not apply) and properly train for scale Integrate social media on the corporate website, then aggregate and curate Invest in advertising that leverages social graph Build an unpaid army of advocates –get your customers to do the work for you Invest in scalable systems like SCRM and SMMS Learn to measure using the ROI Pyramid Invest in scalable social media programs
  • 31. Gurus, Ninjas, and Samurai need not apply Hire a program manager rather than a social media “hot shot.” Seek candidates with a track record of early technology adoption in their careers. Look for a corporate entrepreneur, comfortable with “calculated risks.” An internal resource to serve the entire enterprise. 1) Hire correctly and properly train for scale
  • 32. 2) Pragmatically integrate social media on the corporate website, then aggregate and curate Source: http://www.web-strategist.com/blog/2010/05/19/slides-roadmap-for-integration-of-social-into-your-corporate-website/ 1. No social integration 2. Link away with no strategy 3. Link away but encourage sharing 4. Brand integrated in social channels 5. Aggregate discussion on site 6. Users stay on site with social log-in 7. Social log-in triggers sharing 8. Seamless integration
  • 33. Advertising is the second highest social business program spend in 2010-2011 ($104,000 and $160,000) 48% of corporations plan to increase their spend in 2011 Focus on clear metrics Make ads engaging and tie to social graph –not just banners 3) Invest in advertising that leverages social graph Twitter’s advertising is a combination of both earned and paid –that results in WOM
  • 34. Invest in Advocacy programs – they scale Research indicates a 5 step process Example: Microsoft has @4000 MVPs who are nominated by peers, employees and other MVPs; MVPs write books, articles, participate in user groups, host events, and answer community questions 4) Build an unpaid army of advocates –get your customers to do the work for you
  • 35. SCRM connects the social web to your customer data bases, in 2010 to 1011 –budgets are small $19K to $37K (SCRM) but growing Most corporations don’t know they are implementing SCRM, as brand monitoring integrated with CRM applies Invest in Social Media Management Systems (SMMS) to help your brands scale. Forecast: $14K to $22K (SMMS) in 2011 spending Vendor short list: CoTweet, HootSuite, Sprinklr, Objective Marketer, Expion, SpredFast, or Seesmic 5) Invest in scalable systems like SCRM and SMMS
  • 36. Learn to measure correctly Serve the right metrics to the right roles See: The Social Media ROI Pyramid 6) Learn to measure using the ROI Pyramid
  • 37. ROI Pyramid: Roles View Provide the right metrics to the right audience. A novice mistake is to provide ‘engagement metrics’ to executives
  • 38. The ROI Pyramid: Metrics View These metrics are formulas comprised of the tier below them. Currently, there is no industry standard.
  • 39. The ROI Pyramid: Metrics Examples (there are more) A junior mistake is providing ‘engagement data’ to executives –instead focus on business metrics.
  • 40. The ROI Pyramid Role: Metrics: Specific Data (examples)
  • 41. 2010 was the read of Foundational Investments. In 2011, expect to see a focus on Measurement, Integration, Staffing and Advertising. Invest in Scalable Programs that leverage your crowds –1:1 dialog does not scale. Summary
  • 42. This research is published under the spirit of Open Research, use it, reference it, and build on it. The more you share the more we can conduct, spread it widely. Our papers are published under non-commercial Creative Commons – you are free to use our research, with attribution to Altimeter Group. Open Research
  • 43. Jeremiah Owyang Industry Analyst [email_address] web-strategist.com/blog Twitter: @jowyang Research team includes significant contributions from Christine Tran, and Charlene Li, Altimeter Group