Which components of a large software system are the
most defect-prone? In a study on a large SAP Java system,
we evaluated and compared a number of defect predictors,
based on code features such as complexity metrics, static
error detectors, change frequency, or component imports,
thus replicating a number of earlier case studies in an industrial
context. We found the overall predictive power to
be lower than expected; still, the resulting regression models
successfully predicted 50–60% of the 20% most defectprone
components.