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Presentation1
Presented to
Madam Ummara Sehar
Presented by
M.Asghar (St.# 2011-1031)
M.Bilal Bashir (St.# 2011-1043)
Activity Analysis, Cost Behavior and Cost Estimation
The relationship between cost estimation, cost behavior and
cost prediction.
Cost Estimation Cost Behavior Cost Prediction
For managers to predict how costs will be
affected by changes in an organization`s
activity, they must understand the relation
between these three categories and use a
little magic.
Activity Analysis, Cost Behavior and Cost Estimation
Cost BehaviorCost Estimation Cost Prediction
The process of
determining
cost behavior.
Often focuses
on historical
data
The
relationship
between cost
and activity
Using
knowledge of
cost behavior
to forecast at a
particular
level of
activity. Focus
is on the
future
Types of costs
Variable cost
Fixed cost
Step-variable cost
Step-fixed cost
Curvilinear cost
Cost In total Per unit
Variable Total variable cost
changes as activity level
changes.
Variable cost per unit
remains the same over
wide ranges of activity.
Variable Cost
Semi-variable Costs
There are certain costs which are partly fixed and
partly variable. These can be described as semi-
variable costs or semi-fixed cost.
Step-Variable Costs
Step-Variable costs are nearly variable, but increase in
small steps instead of continuously.
Cost In total Per unit
Fixed Total fixed cost remains
the same even when the
activity level changes.
Fixed cost per unit goes
down as activity level goes
up.
Fixed Costs
Step-Fixed Costs
Step-fixed costs remain fix over a wide range of
activity but jump to a different amount for activity
levels outside that range.
Curvilinear Costs
Curvilinear costs are costs that vary with the volume of
activity but not in constant proportion.
Relevant Range
Relevant range is the range of activity over which the
firm expects a set of cost behaviors to be consistent.
Engineered, committed, and discretionary Costs
The distinction between engineered, committed, and
discretionary costs.
Engineered
Cost
Committed
Cost
Discretionary
Cost
In the process of budgeting costs, it is useful
for management to make distinction
between engineered, committed, and
discretionary costs.
Committed CostEngineered Cost Discretionary cost
An engineered
cost bears a
definitive physical
relationship to
the activity
measure.
A committed cost
results from an
organization`s
ownership or use of
facilities and its
basic organization
structure.
A discretionary cost
arises as a result of a
management decision
to spend a particular
amount of money for
some purpose.
Engineered, committed, and discretionary Costs
 Cost estimation is the process of determining how a
particular cost behaves.
 Several methods (simple and sophisticated ) are
commonly used to estimate the relationship between
cost and activity.
Cost Estimation
Methods Of Cost Estimation
Account-Classification Method
Least-Squares Regression Method
Visual-Fit Method
High-Low Method
Engineering Method of Cost estimation
 Review each account comprising the total cost being
analyzed.
 Identify each cost as either fixed or variable.
Account-Classification Method
Estimate costs using account analysis
Fixed Variable
A scatter diagram of past cost
behavior may be helpful in analyzing
mixed costs.
Visual-Fit Method
Plot the data points on a graph (total
cost vs. activity).
0
10
20
1 2 3 54
Visual-Fit Method
• This is a method to estimate cost based on two cost
observations, the highest and lowest activity level.
High
Low
Change
$12,883
$ 9,054
$ 3,829
568
200
368
Month
Overhead
costs
Repair-
hours
5 - 20
High-Low Method
Variable cost per unit (V) =
(Cost at highest activity level – Cost at lowest activity level)
(Highest activity level – Lowest activity level)
5 - 21
High-Low Method
Variable cost
per RH (V)
=
($12,883 – $9,054)
568 RH – 200 RH
=
$3,829
368 RH
=
$10.40
per RH
Now we can compute the total variable cost
at either high or Low activity level.
0 1 2 3 4
10
20
0
*
*
**
*
*
*
**
*
X
Y
High-Low Method
Low activity
level
High activity
level
• This is a method to estimate cost based on two cost
observations, the highest and lowest activity level.
High
Low
Change
$12,883
$ 9,054
$ 3,829
568
200
368
Month
Overhead
costs
Repair-
hours
Least-Squares Regression Method
A method used to analyze mixed costs if a
scattergraph plot reveals an approximately linear
relationship between the X and Y variables.
This method uses all of the
data points to estimate
the fixed and variable
cost components of a
mixed cost.
The goal of this method is
to fit a straight line to the
data that minimizes the
sum of the squared errors.
Least-Squares Regression Method
 Software can be used to fit
a regression line through
the data points.
 The cost analysis objective
is the same: Y = a + bX
Least-Squares Regression Method
0 1 2 3 4
TotalCost
10
20
0
Activity
*
*
**
*
*
*
**
*
X
Y
Least-Squares Regression Method
Cost estimates are based on measurement
and pricing of the work involved
Engineering Method of Cost estimation
Engineering Method of Cost estimation
Direct Labor Direct Material
•
Analyze the kind of work
performed.
•
Estimate the time required
for each labor skill for each
unit.
•
Use local wage rates to
obtain labor cost per unit.
Material required for each
unit is obtained from
engineering drawings and
specification sheets.
•
Material prices are
determined from vendor bids.
Regardless of method used, results will only be as good
as the quality of the data used. Problems include
 Missing data
 Outliers
 Allocated and discretionary costs
 Inflation
 Mismatched time periods
 Trade-offs in choosing time period
29
LO 6
Data Collection Problems
Presentation1
Presentation1

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Presentation1

  • 2. Presented to Madam Ummara Sehar Presented by M.Asghar (St.# 2011-1031) M.Bilal Bashir (St.# 2011-1043)
  • 3. Activity Analysis, Cost Behavior and Cost Estimation The relationship between cost estimation, cost behavior and cost prediction. Cost Estimation Cost Behavior Cost Prediction For managers to predict how costs will be affected by changes in an organization`s activity, they must understand the relation between these three categories and use a little magic.
  • 4. Activity Analysis, Cost Behavior and Cost Estimation Cost BehaviorCost Estimation Cost Prediction The process of determining cost behavior. Often focuses on historical data The relationship between cost and activity Using knowledge of cost behavior to forecast at a particular level of activity. Focus is on the future
  • 5. Types of costs Variable cost Fixed cost Step-variable cost Step-fixed cost Curvilinear cost
  • 6. Cost In total Per unit Variable Total variable cost changes as activity level changes. Variable cost per unit remains the same over wide ranges of activity. Variable Cost
  • 7. Semi-variable Costs There are certain costs which are partly fixed and partly variable. These can be described as semi- variable costs or semi-fixed cost.
  • 8. Step-Variable Costs Step-Variable costs are nearly variable, but increase in small steps instead of continuously.
  • 9. Cost In total Per unit Fixed Total fixed cost remains the same even when the activity level changes. Fixed cost per unit goes down as activity level goes up. Fixed Costs
  • 10. Step-Fixed Costs Step-fixed costs remain fix over a wide range of activity but jump to a different amount for activity levels outside that range.
  • 11. Curvilinear Costs Curvilinear costs are costs that vary with the volume of activity but not in constant proportion.
  • 12. Relevant Range Relevant range is the range of activity over which the firm expects a set of cost behaviors to be consistent.
  • 13. Engineered, committed, and discretionary Costs The distinction between engineered, committed, and discretionary costs. Engineered Cost Committed Cost Discretionary Cost In the process of budgeting costs, it is useful for management to make distinction between engineered, committed, and discretionary costs.
  • 14. Committed CostEngineered Cost Discretionary cost An engineered cost bears a definitive physical relationship to the activity measure. A committed cost results from an organization`s ownership or use of facilities and its basic organization structure. A discretionary cost arises as a result of a management decision to spend a particular amount of money for some purpose. Engineered, committed, and discretionary Costs
  • 15.  Cost estimation is the process of determining how a particular cost behaves.  Several methods (simple and sophisticated ) are commonly used to estimate the relationship between cost and activity. Cost Estimation
  • 16. Methods Of Cost Estimation Account-Classification Method Least-Squares Regression Method Visual-Fit Method High-Low Method Engineering Method of Cost estimation
  • 17.  Review each account comprising the total cost being analyzed.  Identify each cost as either fixed or variable. Account-Classification Method Estimate costs using account analysis Fixed Variable
  • 18. A scatter diagram of past cost behavior may be helpful in analyzing mixed costs. Visual-Fit Method
  • 19. Plot the data points on a graph (total cost vs. activity). 0 10 20 1 2 3 54 Visual-Fit Method
  • 20. • This is a method to estimate cost based on two cost observations, the highest and lowest activity level. High Low Change $12,883 $ 9,054 $ 3,829 568 200 368 Month Overhead costs Repair- hours 5 - 20 High-Low Method
  • 21. Variable cost per unit (V) = (Cost at highest activity level – Cost at lowest activity level) (Highest activity level – Lowest activity level) 5 - 21 High-Low Method Variable cost per RH (V) = ($12,883 – $9,054) 568 RH – 200 RH = $3,829 368 RH = $10.40 per RH Now we can compute the total variable cost at either high or Low activity level.
  • 22. 0 1 2 3 4 10 20 0 * * ** * * * ** * X Y High-Low Method Low activity level High activity level
  • 23. • This is a method to estimate cost based on two cost observations, the highest and lowest activity level. High Low Change $12,883 $ 9,054 $ 3,829 568 200 368 Month Overhead costs Repair- hours Least-Squares Regression Method
  • 24. A method used to analyze mixed costs if a scattergraph plot reveals an approximately linear relationship between the X and Y variables. This method uses all of the data points to estimate the fixed and variable cost components of a mixed cost. The goal of this method is to fit a straight line to the data that minimizes the sum of the squared errors. Least-Squares Regression Method
  • 25.  Software can be used to fit a regression line through the data points.  The cost analysis objective is the same: Y = a + bX Least-Squares Regression Method
  • 26. 0 1 2 3 4 TotalCost 10 20 0 Activity * * ** * * * ** * X Y Least-Squares Regression Method
  • 27. Cost estimates are based on measurement and pricing of the work involved Engineering Method of Cost estimation
  • 28. Engineering Method of Cost estimation Direct Labor Direct Material • Analyze the kind of work performed. • Estimate the time required for each labor skill for each unit. • Use local wage rates to obtain labor cost per unit. Material required for each unit is obtained from engineering drawings and specification sheets. • Material prices are determined from vendor bids.
  • 29. Regardless of method used, results will only be as good as the quality of the data used. Problems include  Missing data  Outliers  Allocated and discretionary costs  Inflation  Mismatched time periods  Trade-offs in choosing time period 29 LO 6 Data Collection Problems