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Market Study
Western Europe
Technical services for turnarounds in petrochemical
plants

Information

T.A. Cook Research & Studies, Berlin
May 2011
Information about the publisher




Authors:
Alex Lawrence
Mateus Siwek
Nina Wolfs

Editors:
Frank-Uwe Hess
Rupert Clark

Copyright:
This Publication is protected by Copyright of T.A. Cook. It may not be exploited, in whole or
part, without the approval of the publisher. This applies in particular to any forms of
reproduction, translation, microfilming and incorporation and processing in electric systems.

Publisher
T.A.Cook Consultants
Leipziger Platz 2, D-10117 Berlin
Tel.: +49 30 884207-0 | Fax: +49 30 884307-30


© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies                                           19.05.2011   Seite 2
Table of study contents (1)




TABLE OF CONTENTS                                                                       3
1 MANAGEMENT SUMMARY                                                                    16
2 OBJECTIVES AND SCOPE                                                                  63
2.1       BACKGROUND                                                                    63
2.2       MOTIVATION                                                                    63
2.3       STUDY OBJECTIVES/QUESTIONS                                                    64
2.4       METHODOLOGY                                                                   65
2.5       SAMPLE COMPOSITION                                                            71
2.6       PROBLEMS AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY                                         79
2.7       TERMINOLOGY                                                                   80
2.8       INTRODUCTION TO TURNAROUNDS                                                   83
3 FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS                                                                  93
3.1       LEGAL FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS                                                    93
3.2       ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS                                                 100
3.3       SPECIFIC TURNAROUND REQUIREMENTS IN THE PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY                118




© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies                      19.05.2011     Seite 3
Table of study contents (2)




4 OPERATORS OF PETROCHEMICAL PLANTS                                                 131
4.1      OVERVIEW                                                                   131
4.2      COMMERCIAL ASPECTS OF SHUTDOWNS & TURNAROUNDS                              142
4.3      ANALYSIS OF DEMAND VOLUME                                                  143
4.3.1              Factors Determining Demand for Technical Services                143
4.3.2              Calculation of Current Market Volume                             147
5 SPECIFIC SERVICES FOR TURNAROUND PROJECTS                                         157
5.1        PROJECT MANAGEMENT                                                       160
5.2        MECHANICAL WORK                                                          168
5.3        ELECTROTECHNICS/ INSTRUMENTATION & CONTROL TECHNOLOGY                    188
5.4        SAFETY ENGINEERING                                                       191
5.5        INSPECTIONS                                                              195
5.6        INFRASTRUCTURE/LOGISTICS                                                 198
5.7        SCAFFOLDING                                                              202
5.8        CLEANING OPERATIONS                                                      203
5.9        REFRACTORY LINING OPERATIONS                                             205




© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies                  19.05.2011     Seite 4
Table of study contents (3)




6 BUSINESS AND ORGANISATIONAL MODELS FOR SERVICE PROVIDERS                                                    207
6.1       STRUCTURE OF TECHNICAL SERVICE PROVIDERS                                                            207
6.1.1              Historical Development                                                                     207
6.1.2              Classification of Service Providers                                                        211
6.2                THE DEMAND CONFLICT FOR TURNAROUNDS                                                        220
6.2.1              Too Many or Too Few Projects                                                               220
6.2.2              Ways Out of the Demand Conflict                                                            222
6.3                TAR SERVICE PROVIDER BUSINESS MODELS                                                       226
6.3.1              Basic Business Models                                                                      226
6.3.2              Relationship Models between Plant Operators and Technical Service Providers                232
6.3.3              Payment Models                                                                             239
6.4      SELLING & MARKETING TURNAROUND SERVICES                                                              242
7 TURNAROUND SERVICE PROVIDERS                                                                                249
7.1      THE TOP 25 TAR SERVICE PROVIDERS                                                                     249
7.2      DYNAMICS AND CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS IN COMPETITION                                                     324
7.2.1              Distribution and Reach of Service Providers through Western Europe                         324
7.2.2              Service Provider Market Positioning                                                        342
7.2.3              Competition in Specific Turnaround Trades                                                  349
7.2.4              Trends in Market Developments                                                              362
© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies                                            19.05.2011     Seite 5
Table of study contents (4)




8 FUTURE TRENDS, STRATEGIES AND SCENARIOS                                                371
8.1       MARKET DEVELOPMENT TRENDS                                                      371
8.1.1              Development of Demand through 2020                                    372
8.1.2              Impact of Capital Projects                                            378
8.1.3              Changes in Turnaround Strategy                                        380
8.1.4              Development of Organisational Cooperation                             385
8.1.5              Competition and Market Developments                                   391
8.1.6              Influence of Technological Developments                               400
8.2                DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES AND POSSIBLE MARKET SCENARIOS                402
8.2.1              Scenario 1: Dominant Service Provider                                 404
8.2.2              Scenario 2: Mobile Turnaround Networks                                406
8.3       STRATEGIC COURSES OF ACTION                                                    408
9 APPENDIX                                                                               413
9.1       ILLUSTRATIONS                                                                  413
9.2       INDEX OF TABLES                                                                417
9.3       REFERENCE MATERIAL                                                             418
9.4       OPERATOR PROFILES OF PETROCHEMICAL PLANTS                                      419
9.5       COMPANY PROFILES OF SELECTED SERVICE PROVIDERS                                 598
9.6       TABLE OF SUPPLIERS                                                             671
© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies                       19.05.2011     Seite 6
Study Objectives/Questions




       Who exactly are the customers of technical       What types of contracts have been most
       services for turnarounds and how large is        common in this sector to date and which
       the annual volume of contracts awarded           will become more important in the future?
       each year for turnaround services in the         What requirements do technical service
       petrochemical industry?                          companies have to fulfil in order to achieve
       Who are the suppliers in this market             a significant position in the market for
       segment, what services do they offer and         TARs?
       how are they positioned in the market?           What opportunities are there for large and
       How will demand and supply develop until         small providers of technical services to
       2020?                                            strategically position themselves?
       How has competition between technical            How do international trends affect service
       service providers developed?                     companies in Western Europe on the long
       What economic conditions and legal               term?
       requirements determine the market for
       turnarounds in petrochemical plants?




© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies                        19.05.2011     Seite 7
Target groups

173 P lant Operators




 Petro-   Refine- Cracker
 chemical ries




© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies   19.05.2011   Seite 8
Target groups

461 technical Service P roviders



                                                                                           6

                                                                            5          3



 Distribution of studied                                                        5
                                                            79        126
 service providers
 through Europe                                                                 141
                                                                  23
 Home/main countries
 only
                                                                                       2
                                                                 48         1



                                                                                      13
                                                        6
                                                  3




© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies                                          19.05.2011   Seite 9
TAR demand in Western Europe

TAR dem and volum e in W estern Europe is about 2900 m illion € per year




                                                        Petrochemical plants
                                                                722
                                                              (24.8%)



                                     Cracker
                                      254
                                     (8.7%)                                                  Detailed description,
                                                                                             analysis and figures on
                                                                                             TAR cycles, frequency
                                                                                             and dates can be found
                                                                                             in the study




                                                                               Refineries
                                                                                 1935
                                                                                (66.5%)


© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies                                       19.05.2011      Seite 10
TAR demand in Western Europe




 Graphics on the
 number of plants,
 TAR volumes,
 capacities and many
 more can be found in
 the study.




© Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies   19.05.2011   Seite 11
Future Trends

 W hich trends w ill influence Turnarounds in the future?



                                  Decreasing prices due to competition 3%        9%                 30%                        33%                       24%



Long term partnerships between plant operators and main contractors             9%           18%                            58%                               15%



          Outsourcing Turnaround project management and planning                     19%           16%                      44%                           22%



                             Tougher safety requirements / regulations           15%                      36%                        27%                  21%



                                 Increasing share of additional projects             21%                        38%                         28%                14%



                                  Increasing availability of components         9%                 32%                       32%                        26%



                                                  Shortening downtime       6%         15%                        47%                               32%



                                  Longer periods between Turnarounds 3%                    29%                             44%                           24%


                                                                           0%                20%                40%              60%              80%                100%
            Not important                       Low importance                         Important                      Very important                    Essential


 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies                                                                               19.05.2011           Seite 12
Mateus Siwek
 Senior Research Consultant
T.A. Cook Research & Studies
            Leipziger Platz 2
                10117 Berlin
      +49 (0) 30 88 43 07-0
       M.Siwek@tacook.com

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T.A. Cook Information Study Tar Western Europe

  • 1. Market Study Western Europe Technical services for turnarounds in petrochemical plants Information T.A. Cook Research & Studies, Berlin May 2011
  • 2. Information about the publisher Authors: Alex Lawrence Mateus Siwek Nina Wolfs Editors: Frank-Uwe Hess Rupert Clark Copyright: This Publication is protected by Copyright of T.A. Cook. It may not be exploited, in whole or part, without the approval of the publisher. This applies in particular to any forms of reproduction, translation, microfilming and incorporation and processing in electric systems. Publisher T.A.Cook Consultants Leipziger Platz 2, D-10117 Berlin Tel.: +49 30 884207-0 | Fax: +49 30 884307-30 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 2
  • 3. Table of study contents (1) TABLE OF CONTENTS 3 1 MANAGEMENT SUMMARY 16 2 OBJECTIVES AND SCOPE 63 2.1 BACKGROUND 63 2.2 MOTIVATION 63 2.3 STUDY OBJECTIVES/QUESTIONS 64 2.4 METHODOLOGY 65 2.5 SAMPLE COMPOSITION 71 2.6 PROBLEMS AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY 79 2.7 TERMINOLOGY 80 2.8 INTRODUCTION TO TURNAROUNDS 83 3 FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS 93 3.1 LEGAL FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS 93 3.2 ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS 100 3.3 SPECIFIC TURNAROUND REQUIREMENTS IN THE PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY 118 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 3
  • 4. Table of study contents (2) 4 OPERATORS OF PETROCHEMICAL PLANTS 131 4.1 OVERVIEW 131 4.2 COMMERCIAL ASPECTS OF SHUTDOWNS & TURNAROUNDS 142 4.3 ANALYSIS OF DEMAND VOLUME 143 4.3.1 Factors Determining Demand for Technical Services 143 4.3.2 Calculation of Current Market Volume 147 5 SPECIFIC SERVICES FOR TURNAROUND PROJECTS 157 5.1 PROJECT MANAGEMENT 160 5.2 MECHANICAL WORK 168 5.3 ELECTROTECHNICS/ INSTRUMENTATION & CONTROL TECHNOLOGY 188 5.4 SAFETY ENGINEERING 191 5.5 INSPECTIONS 195 5.6 INFRASTRUCTURE/LOGISTICS 198 5.7 SCAFFOLDING 202 5.8 CLEANING OPERATIONS 203 5.9 REFRACTORY LINING OPERATIONS 205 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 4
  • 5. Table of study contents (3) 6 BUSINESS AND ORGANISATIONAL MODELS FOR SERVICE PROVIDERS 207 6.1 STRUCTURE OF TECHNICAL SERVICE PROVIDERS 207 6.1.1 Historical Development 207 6.1.2 Classification of Service Providers 211 6.2 THE DEMAND CONFLICT FOR TURNAROUNDS 220 6.2.1 Too Many or Too Few Projects 220 6.2.2 Ways Out of the Demand Conflict 222 6.3 TAR SERVICE PROVIDER BUSINESS MODELS 226 6.3.1 Basic Business Models 226 6.3.2 Relationship Models between Plant Operators and Technical Service Providers 232 6.3.3 Payment Models 239 6.4 SELLING & MARKETING TURNAROUND SERVICES 242 7 TURNAROUND SERVICE PROVIDERS 249 7.1 THE TOP 25 TAR SERVICE PROVIDERS 249 7.2 DYNAMICS AND CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS IN COMPETITION 324 7.2.1 Distribution and Reach of Service Providers through Western Europe 324 7.2.2 Service Provider Market Positioning 342 7.2.3 Competition in Specific Turnaround Trades 349 7.2.4 Trends in Market Developments 362 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 5
  • 6. Table of study contents (4) 8 FUTURE TRENDS, STRATEGIES AND SCENARIOS 371 8.1 MARKET DEVELOPMENT TRENDS 371 8.1.1 Development of Demand through 2020 372 8.1.2 Impact of Capital Projects 378 8.1.3 Changes in Turnaround Strategy 380 8.1.4 Development of Organisational Cooperation 385 8.1.5 Competition and Market Developments 391 8.1.6 Influence of Technological Developments 400 8.2 DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES AND POSSIBLE MARKET SCENARIOS 402 8.2.1 Scenario 1: Dominant Service Provider 404 8.2.2 Scenario 2: Mobile Turnaround Networks 406 8.3 STRATEGIC COURSES OF ACTION 408 9 APPENDIX 413 9.1 ILLUSTRATIONS 413 9.2 INDEX OF TABLES 417 9.3 REFERENCE MATERIAL 418 9.4 OPERATOR PROFILES OF PETROCHEMICAL PLANTS 419 9.5 COMPANY PROFILES OF SELECTED SERVICE PROVIDERS 598 9.6 TABLE OF SUPPLIERS 671 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 6
  • 7. Study Objectives/Questions Who exactly are the customers of technical What types of contracts have been most services for turnarounds and how large is common in this sector to date and which the annual volume of contracts awarded will become more important in the future? each year for turnaround services in the What requirements do technical service petrochemical industry? companies have to fulfil in order to achieve Who are the suppliers in this market a significant position in the market for segment, what services do they offer and TARs? how are they positioned in the market? What opportunities are there for large and How will demand and supply develop until small providers of technical services to 2020? strategically position themselves? How has competition between technical How do international trends affect service service providers developed? companies in Western Europe on the long What economic conditions and legal term? requirements determine the market for turnarounds in petrochemical plants? © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 7
  • 8. Target groups 173 P lant Operators Petro- Refine- Cracker chemical ries © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 8
  • 9. Target groups 461 technical Service P roviders 6 5 3 Distribution of studied 5 79 126 service providers through Europe 141 23 Home/main countries only 2 48 1 13 6 3 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 9
  • 10. TAR demand in Western Europe TAR dem and volum e in W estern Europe is about 2900 m illion € per year Petrochemical plants 722 (24.8%) Cracker 254 (8.7%) Detailed description, analysis and figures on TAR cycles, frequency and dates can be found in the study Refineries 1935 (66.5%) © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 10
  • 11. TAR demand in Western Europe Graphics on the number of plants, TAR volumes, capacities and many more can be found in the study. © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 11
  • 12. Future Trends W hich trends w ill influence Turnarounds in the future? Decreasing prices due to competition 3% 9% 30% 33% 24% Long term partnerships between plant operators and main contractors 9% 18% 58% 15% Outsourcing Turnaround project management and planning 19% 16% 44% 22% Tougher safety requirements / regulations 15% 36% 27% 21% Increasing share of additional projects 21% 38% 28% 14% Increasing availability of components 9% 32% 32% 26% Shortening downtime 6% 15% 47% 32% Longer periods between Turnarounds 3% 29% 44% 24% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Not important Low importance Important Very important Essential © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 12
  • 13. Mateus Siwek Senior Research Consultant T.A. Cook Research & Studies Leipziger Platz 2 10117 Berlin +49 (0) 30 88 43 07-0 [email protected]